Democrats Recoil From GOP’s Electoral Secret: Marriage Plus Children

Sailer-Dec. 12, 2004

Bush Pop. Vote %: All Races 2004

Years married 18-44: NonHisp. Whites 2000

Total Fertility Rate: NH Whites 2002

 Years of schooling: NH Whites 2000

Utah

71.1%

             17.0

           2.45

          13.7

Wyoming

69.0%

             15.5

           1.99

          13.3

Idaho

68.5%

             16.3

           2.20

          13.3

Nebraska

66.0%

             15.3

           2.02

          13.3

Oklahoma

65.6%

             15.8

           2.01

          13.0

North Dakota

62.9%

             15.5

           1.78

          13.0

Alabama

62.5%

             16.6

           1.84

          12.7

Kansas

62.2%

             15.7

           2.06

          13.4

Alaska

61.8%

             15.3

           2.28

          13.8

Texas

61.2%

             15.2

           1.93

          13.5

Indiana

60.0%

             15.1

           1.94

          12.9

South Dakota

59.9%

             15.7

           2.02

          13.0

Mississippi

59.6%

             16.5

           1.92

          12.7

Kentucky

59.5%

             15.7

           1.85

          12.2

Montana

59.1%

             15.0

           1.87

          13.3

Georgia

58.1%

             15.6

           1.90

          13.1

South Carolina

58.0%

             15.4

           1.80

          13.0

Tennessee

56.8%

             15.7

           1.83

          12.5

Louisiana

56.7%

             15.4

           1.88

          12.7

North Carolina

56.1%

             15.5

           1.84

          13.0

West Virginia

56.0%

             15.3

           1.80

          12.2

Arizona

54.9%

             13.7

           1.92

          13.6

Arkansas

54.3%

             16.5

           1.94

          12.5

Virginia

54.0%

             14.7

           1.82

          13.4

Missouri

53.4%

             15.0

           1.89

          12.9

Florida

52.1%

             13.6

           1.78

          13.3

Colorado

52.0%

             14.1

           1.86

          14.0

Ohio

51.0%

             14.5

           1.89

          13.0

Nevada

50.5%

             13.4

           1.85

          13.3

Iowa

50.1%

             15.1

           1.89

          13.0

New Mexico

49.8%

             14.1

           1.90

          13.9

Wisconsin

49.4%

             14.6

           1.78

          13.1

New Hampshire

49.0%

             14.0

           1.69

          13.4

Pennsylvania

48.6%

             13.9

           1.72

          12.9

Michigan

47.8%

             14.5

           1.88

          13.1

Minnesota

47.6%

             14.4

           1.83

          13.5

Oregon

47.6%

             13.9

           1.76

          13.4

New Jersey

46.4%

             13.5

           1.83

          13.4

Delaware

45.8%

             13.9

           1.71

          13.3

Washington

45.6%

             13.9

           1.72

          13.6

Hawaii

45.3%

             14.1

           1.59

          14.2

Maine

44.6%

             13.8

           1.65

          13.0

Illinois

44.6%

             14.2

           1.80

          13.4

California

44.5%

             12.5

           1.65

          13.9

Connecticut

44.0%

             13.4

           1.75

          13.6

Maryland

43.3%

             14.0

           1.81

          13.7

New York

40.5%

             12.7

           1.72

          13.5

Rhode Island

38.9%

             12.6