Earlier (2005) by Steve Sailer: ”Affordable Family Formation”—The Neglected Key To GOP’s Future

From Canada's National Post:

Mass immigration was supposed to lower Canada's mean population age. Instead it's suppressing family formation by making housing wildly unaffordable. Our TFR is 1.33 children/woman — and falling. https://t.co/IopTkUofxZ

— Caylan Ford (@caylanford) October 6, 2023

The Liberal Party of Canada has been pro-importing immigrants since the 1950s, when one additional Portuguese- or Italian-Canadian workingman meant one additional Liberal vote in cities like Toronto.

Now, under Trudeau the Second, Electing a New (Canadian) People has made housing so expensive as to make family formation unaffordable for regular Canadians, who at this point include Canadian-born Portuguese and Italians:

FIRST READING: Canada’s birth rate has dropped off a cliff (and it’s likely because nobody can afford housing)
More than a third of young people say they are foregoing children because they can't afford a proper home for them
By Tristin Hopper, October 05, 2023 

Statistics Canada confirmed last week that 351,679 babies were born in 2022—the lowest number of live births since 345,044 births were recorded in 2005.

The disparity is all the more notable given that Canada had just 32 million people in 2005, as compared to the 40 million it counted by the end of 2022. In 2005, it was already at historic lows for Canada to have a fertility rate of 1.57 births per woman. But given the 2022 figures, that fertility rate has now sunk to 1.33.

 

Fertility rates have been dropping all across the developed world for decades, but the recent downturn in Canada has been so sharp that Statistics Canada has warned that if current trends continue, Canada could soon be ranked among the lowest fertility countries on earth.

“Canada could join the countries with the ‘lowest-low’ fertility rates … a situation associated with rapid population aging and increased stress on the labour market, public health care and pension systems,” wrote the statistical agency in May 2022.

The “lowest-low” club is all those countries with a fertility rate of less than 1.3 children per woman—a group that includes Japan, Italy, South Korea and China….

As for why Canadians are abandoning child-rearing faster than ever, Statistics Canada has hinted that the skyrocketing cost of shelter probably has a lot to do with it.

In a survey published last month, the agency found that more than a third of young Canadians were setting aside plans for a family due purely to financial reasons. Of Canadians in their 20s, Statistics Canada found that 38 per cent of them “did not believe they could afford to have a child in the next three years”—with about that same number (32 per cent) saying they doubted they’d be able to find “suitable housing” in which to care for a baby.[More]

Of course, at VDARE.com we've been talking about ”Affordable Family Formation” (the ability of normal Americans and their children and grandchildren, to form families) as key to the GOP's future, but in Canada it's looking like the future generation will feature very few actual Canadians.