Peter Brimelow writes:
Forbes
Magazine has just published my charticle demonstrating
the European Union’s strikingly low labor force
participation rates compared to the U.S. (Click
here – don’t forget to continue through to the
actual chart, which in the web version is shown
separately. Forbes
still allows free access to its web page, but now you
have to register, like The New
York Times. It seems a fairly harmless process.
And you get a grateful email from Tim Forbes.)
The Europeans are constantly
being told, e.g. recently by Nick
Eberstadt in The Washington Post, that their
population is aging and they have to import a lot of
Arabs to compensate. This
is, of course, a screamingly simplistic analysis. You
can’t argue from people to production, because labor
is only a minor part of the factors of production –
far outweighed by e.g. technology.
But what this charticle shows is
that, even so, Europe’s problem is not decrepit
people, but a decrepit labor market. Government policy
just plain encourages people not to work.
Ironically, U.S. government
policy has been discouraging Americans from working
too. We examined declining American labor force
participation in a 1998 charticle.
Things
just haven’t gotten as bad as Europe, yet.
The underlying point remains the
same: the demand for immigrants (especially for
illegal immigrants working off the books) is often
just the shadow of regulation. Government policy is
creating a problem for which another government policy
– importing labor – is the proposed solution.
Immigration is favored by government, and by the
political class generally, because while labor market
policies may be wrong, they create client
constituencies. And immigration is creating the
biggest client constituency of all.
March 19, 2001