March 14, 2008
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03/13/08 - A Virginia Reader
Says “Republicanism” Betrayed Duncan Hunter and Tom
Tancredo—Not Immigration Reform Patriots
A Reader From Alaska Wonders What Joe Guzzardi Is Smoking
From:
Dug Garrett (e-mail
him)
Re: Joe Guzzardi’s
Introduction to the Saturday Forum
What is Guzzardi smoking? His
prediction that the Democrats will carry
Alaska in 2008 is outrageous.
There is no polling data whatsoever
to support Guzzardi’s claim. Or have I missed something?
Is Guzzardi privy to information I
don't have (entirely possible) or is he just being an
armchair general without having considered what he
wrote?
Alaska has voted for the Democrats
exactly once in a presidential race since 1959 when it
achieved statehood.
And since 1964 when the state
rejected
Barry Goldwater in favor of
Lyndon Johnson, Alaska has gotten substantially more
Republican each year.
I estimate that Alaska is the third
or fourth most Republican state in the union.
It is true that Senator John
McCain, because of his
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge drilling opposition
and his general apostasy on many other core GOP issues,
is the worst possible choice the party could have made
as far as Alaska voters are concerned.
But, in the eyes of Alaskans,
McCain is a superior candidate to either Hillary Clinton
or Barack Obama.
Garrett, who has worked in politics for 30 years, is a
legal resident of Alaska but resides in Washington D.C.
He is the owner of Moby Dick Airways, Ltd
Joe Guzzardi confesses: I
know nothing about Alaska politics, have no special
insights on it (or any other subject, for that matter)
and am indeed merely an “armchair general.”
When, in my Saturday Forum introduction, I ran a quick
tally of how the electoral vote would turn out in
November, I gave Alaska’s three to the Democrats. But
that, as Garret points out, was hasty.
Still, according to my rough estimate, whichever
Democratic candidate emerges will win over 300 electoral
votes.