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Sort of.
I really did co-write the first one,
for Forbes
magazine on
But when my brilliant co-author,
Leslie Spencer, asked the Boston Fed's research
director, Alicia
H. Munnell, what
minority default rates were, she said proudly that
census tract data showed that they were equal to whites.
When Leslie pointed out that this actually proved there
was no discrimination, because the lenders had somehow
weeded out the credit risks down to the same acceptable
level, Munnell was dumbfounded and had to concede (on
tape) that she did not, in fact, have definitive proof
of discrimination at all.
We had discovered a fundamental
technical flaw. We sat back and waited for our
Pulitzer Prizes.
Nothing happened. The Boston Fed
study continued to be cited by
press and politicians.
Alicia Munnell was apotheosized into the
Clinton administration.
Partly this was because
Forbes magazine, albeit then very successful, just didn't figure in
the media food chain. Its readership seemed to be
confined to 750,000 retired dentists. That mattered, in
the dark days before the Internet.
But mostly nobody wanted to know.
Subsequently,
That's a bipartisan
"nobody," by the way. Questioned later about the
Boston Fed study, a Bush Fed governor just smirked and
said he was sure the banks would make money. If
anything,
pressure on the financial industry to make marginal
loans
increased under George II, part of his
Latino outreach strategy.
I don't want to say I told them so.
But I (we) did.
Of course, the financial industry
was all too happy to be pressured. It no doubt figured
it could make commissions and, if there was trouble, the
government would bail it out.
And guess what?
This brings me to my second
rich-and-famous making article, on the 1998
Fed-orchestrated bailout of
Long-Term Capital Management hedge fund.
Which, I have to admit, I didn't
actually write. I could never interest any editor in it.
But they were wrong and I was right. (Notice a pattern?)
LTCM was the current bailout in microcosm.
I was fascinated by the LTCM
bailout. I couldn't figure out why the Fed needed to
rescue a relatively small firm. But two excellent books When Genius Failed
and Inventing Money
,
respectively by Roger Lowenstein and Nicholas Dunbar
(who really do deserve to be rich and famous)
provided a
lot of damning detail, albeit without drawing
conclusions.
Bottom line: LTCM seems to have been
bailed out because it was well-connected. Its
connections were significantly to Goldman Sachs, which
in turn was extremely well-connected to federal
government. Its former CEO,
Robert Rubin, was
Treasury Secretary at the time.
By an amazing coincidence, another
former Goldman CEO,
Henry Paulson, is
orchestrating the current bailout.
Significantly, the books revealed
that LTCM has made itself the
"chosen
instrument" of, for example, the Italian government
in its efforts to groom the Italian bond market in order
to join the Euro. LTCM repeatedly cornered the Italian
bond market with the Italian government's tacit
connivance, even though this was devastating to Italian
small investors.
My questions: What governments? What
goals? Are subprime mortgages just a later example?
How long has this sort of collusion
been going on?
After the Panic of 1907, the U.S.
Congress set up the
Pujo Committee to investigate the so-called
"money trust."
Of course, that resulted in the
Federal Reserve, which
arguably is now part of the problem.
But maybe we should try again.
And this time look at
Washington as well as
Wall Street.
Peter Brimelow (email him) is editor of VDARE.COM and author of the much-denounced Alien Nation: Common Sense About America's Immigration Disaster, (Random House - 1995) and The Worm in the Apple (HarperCollins - 2003)