TABLE 2
|
Projected Republican Share |
Republican Share With half of Nader and Buchanan Voters |
Percent of Voting Age Population: |
| White(a) |
Black(a) |
Hispanic |
Asian(a) |
| 2000 - Nov. 7 |
48.4% |
50.0% |
73.8% |
11.4% |
10.3% |
4.4% |
| 2004 |
48.1% |
49.7% |
72.4% |
11.6% |
11.3% |
4.8% |
| 2008 |
47.8% |
49.4% |
70.8% |
11.8% |
12.2% |
5.2% |
| 2012 |
47.0% |
48.6% |
69.3% |
12.1% |
12.4% |
6.2% |
| 2016 |
47.2% |
48.8% |
67.8% |
12.2% |
14.0% |
5.9% |
| 2020 |
47.3% |
48.9% |
66.3% |
12.4% |
15.0% |
6.3% |
| 2040 |
45.2% |
46.8% |
58.6% |
13.0% |
19.9% |
8.5% |
| 2060 |
43.7% |
45.3% |
51.4% |
13.3% |
24.8% |
10.5% |
| 2080 |
42.6% |
44.2% |
45.9% |
13.3% |
28.8% |
12.1% |
| 2100 |
41.8% |
43.4% |
41.6% |
13.1% |
32.0% |
13.3% |
|
|
a. Non-Hispanic.Note: Republican share held at 2000 level for each group, i.e.: White, 54%; Black 8%; Hispanic 31%; Asian 41%. Voter participation rate: White 56%; Black 45%; Hispanic 35%; Asian and other, 43%.
Source: Based on Census Bureau projections of voting age population released in 2000.
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Swept Away...October 20, 2001
