Immigration `Inevitable` – But So Is Stopping It.


all plausible and most implausible reasons

mass immigration from Mexico
might be a good thing
for the United States, Mexican economists (a phrase
somewhat similar to "Swiss admirals") have now decided
that mass immigration from their country to ours is
merely "inevitable."

This is what always happens when
one side in an argument starts losing: It proclaims that
what it`s arguing for is really inevitable, whether
desirable or not, and
anyone who disagrees is a racist.

The inevitability argument is not
exactly new, but it has now been polished up and
published again, this time in a report by Mexico`s

National Population Council
, which is part of the
Mexican government`s Interior Department. But even
though the argument isn`t new, it`s worth listening to.

The report


that no matter how much Mexico develops economically,
there will still be huge numbers of Mexicans coming
across the U.S. border. By 2030, it projects, the
Mexican-born U.S. population will rise to at least 16-18
million, double what it is today. By that year also,
Mexican immigrants will still approach 400,000 a year,
as opposed to a mere 370,000 estimated for 2000.

Immigration, in other words, will
be even higher regardless of any Mexican economic

Of course, there`s an ideological
side to the Interior Department`s report.
[You can read the entire report

, if you have PDF,
and can read Spanish, or read a

report on the report
from the Center for Immigration Studies.]

Mexico very much wants the United States to keep taking
in Mexicans, not enforce its immigration laws very
rigorously, and grant amnesty, or
something like it, to illegals already here.
Therefore, telling us that mass migration is inevitable
and there`s nothing we can do about it fits that policy
goal. It would be a mistake to take the report`s
conclusions about "inevitability" at face value.

On the other hand, there`s no
particular reason to doubt that the report is probably
more or less right. In the first place, Mexico
may or may not
enjoy a period of significant
economic modernization in the near future, and even if
it does, there`s no reason to think such a period will
necessarily stem the immigrant flow. For one thing, many
Mexicans now come to join their families who are already

As Harvard immigration expert
Marcelo M. Suarez-Orozco
told the Washington Times recently,
half the immigrants from Mexico now come to be with
their families. "That`s why Mexicans migrate—love of
family and to get a good job." [“Flow of illegals

 Washington Times
, March 27, 2002] Of course,
if they didn`t migrate at all, they could all stay with
their families, so the main reason they come is the
job magnet the American economy offers.
Nevertheless, it`s probable they`ll keep coming or
trying to come.

Does that mean Americans should
just give up and stop trying to stop them? That`s
exactly what the open borders lobby on both sides of the
border want us to believe. "Immigration from Mexico is
our history and our destiny," intones Professor
Suarez-Orozco. David Simcox of the

Center for Immigration Studies
says, "Immigrating to
the United States or moving back and forth across the
border is ingrained in Mexican culture."

Maybe so, but why does that mean
that "Mexican culture" should prevail over American
culture? If it`s part of Mexican culture to emigrate to
El Norte, it`s no less part of American culture—not to
mention American law and American national security—to
stop the immigrants as much as possible.

That it`s possible to stop them is
shown by special border security programs enforced by
the Border Patrol in El Paso,

southern California
and other places. Indeed, the
main reason Mexican illegals are now

Arizona is that U.S. border security has
made crossing at other
places difficult
. There are many
good reasons why we should enforce our border laws,
regardless of
how many immigrants are coming or why. Sept. 11 is
merely the most obvious.

The real implication of the Mexican
report is not that we should give up and swallow
whatever Mexicans the
Mexican ruling class
purges from its own failed
economy and

but that we have no choice but to enforce
tighter border security ourselves and
reduce legal immigration as well.

Indeed, one might say that`s
inevitable. For years the pro-immigration lobby has
claimed that we need do nothing against immigration
because Mexican economic development will remove the
incentives for Mexicans to leave. What the report is
telling us is that that claim (like
everything else the open borders nuts say) is

Lifting all Mexican boats may be swell for many reasons,
but it won`t stop the boats from sailing north, nor will
the Mexican government do anything to halt its human
armada. The only way to halt it is through the exercise
of our own will to stop the Mexican invasion before it
turns into the

that Mexicans—here as well as in
Mexico—still want.


April 11, 2002