November 8, 2008

My Correct Election Forecast

In January when it looked like McCain was about to win the GOP Nomination, I wrote:

I’m not good at forecasting elections, but I am confident in my prediction of how it will be spun.

If John McCain gets the GOP nomination, he will still lose the Hispanic vote by a large margin.

If he wins, the chattering classes will compare how he well he did among Hispanics compared to the GOP’s performance in the 2006 midterms, proving that the Hispanic vote won him the election.

Obama Considers Larry Summers For Treasury Secretary

A few comments:

- I've never seen much evidence that Obama has any true respect for white feminists. He seems to see feminists as whiny me-too victims who try to hog the spotlight from the real victims: blacks. The Throw Grandma Under the Bus incident which he brought up this year to excuse Rev. Wright exemplifies this.

Will Obama "Change" Include Free Speech Ban?

Here at VDARE.com, with all the other considerations inherent in our new Majority/Minority Administration, we sometimes wonder if we will still be in business in four years time.

McCain's Share Of White Vote Would Have Won Him Presidency In 1976

In 1997, Ed Rubenstein and I wrote a National Review cover story, Electing A New People, basically making three points:

1] a static point: in American politics, race is destiny - the races vote systematically differently and these differences are very slow to change;

Who Says The Social Sciences Aren't Sciences?

People are always putting down the social sciences, saying they aren't real sciences. When an astronomer predicts a solar eclipse, it happens. But when a social scientist predicts something, how often does it come true?

Saturday Forum

Glenn Spencer Agrees: Chertoff Took Border Security Seriously; etc.

From: Glenn Spencer: (e-mail him)