Tuesday`s results suggest a sure-fire winner in a Most Boring Headline contest: "Little Change in Canadian Election."
But the big change in Canadian
politics remains gradual yet ineluctable: the emerging
Admittedly, its dissolution is
taking longer than I predicted in this space two years
ago. (In my
defence, I hadn`t
And if that weren`t enough, our three largest cities, Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal, will soon to be majority "visible minority," in a country where over 80% of the population remain members of the barely-tolerated white majority.
Stephen Harper`s Conservative Party was re-elected to another minority government Tuesday. The numbers:
The Maritime Provinces (25
seats), despite their history of selling their seats to
the highest bidder, elected a bare plurality of
Liberals, and the plunge in the Liberal popular vote
presaged a disastrous showing country-wide. Given local
jealousies, it is entirely possible Maritimers voted
As its leader Gilles Duceppe
boasted, the Bloc took a majority of
The Liberal Party did not win a single seat in Francophone Quebec, a complete change from the days of Pierre Trudeau, suggesting that the party`s historic raison d`être has disappeared.
The Conservatives, however, gained no seats in Quebec, despite Harper`s unprecedented pandering: giving the province (now only 22% of Canada`s population) its own seat in UNESCO, guaranteeing it a permanent duopoly in the agency that regulates the broadcast media, offering it a separate Criminal Code (blatantly unconstitutional) and compelling his party to recognize Quebec as a "nation" in the House of Commons.
Of course, Francophone Quebec is a nation, albeit without a state—it`s the caveat I mentioned earlier. But equally recognizing English Canada as a "nation" would be unthinkable. That would be "divisive," even "racist".
As Peter Brimelow declared
back in 1986 in
The Patriot Game, the
real question for English Canada is not whether
The Conservatives made their
largest gains in
The Liberals were almost wiped out on the Prairies, taking two of 56 seats. Leader Stéphane Dion`s climate-change "Green Shift" (think Al Gore with carte blanche) succeeded only in shifting Liberal votes everywhere else.
And the Liberals did almost as
Dion was the big loser on
Tuesday. He is easily the worst
leader of my lifetime. A peevish academic, he
manages to be both effete and epicene. His own people
despise him, and his
obstinate refusal to master English—despite spending
a year at
But Conservative leader Harper was not a big winner. For the third time in a row, he failed to win the majority that seemingly should have been his for the asking. Why not? Well, it`s not simply that he rejects the Sailer Strategy; it`s more that he`s the anti-Sailer candidate. Harper is a Bush clone, an unregenerate neocon whose only known enthusiasms are Israel and American global hegemony. Like Bush, he has worked assiduously to attenuate the Conservative base. His ethnic pandering reached a new low: apologizing (and paying redress for) the Chinese head tax, which ended in 1923; apologizing for turning back a boatload of Sikhs (in 1914!); promising even-higher immigrant levels, even as the proportion of skilled immigrants falls to 17.5% of the total; promising to force the provinces to recognize immigrant medical and other credentials; standing foursquare behind Canada`s totalitarian "hate speech" law.
Harper`s immigration enthusiasm certainly hurt him in Quebec. Harper`s ethnic capo, junior immigration minister Jason Kenney, condemned the Bloc for sending "dog whistle messages" to those who "are against the growing ethno-cultural diversity in greater Montreal in particular and in Quebec in general." [BQ desperate, Tory minister says Playing to xenophobia, intolerance, by Elizabeth Thompson, The Montreal Gazette, September 17, 2008] But the benighted group who responded to the whistles plainly includes the entire French-speaking nation in the province.
But perhaps even embracing the
Sailer Strategy in Anglophone