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Oct 21: Rasmussen Repeats—Romney`s White Share At 59%; Gallup Repeats—Overall Lead Growing. Could This Be It (Again)?
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October 21, 2012, 07:42 PM
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On the whole, Romney got the better of the national polls today (October 21), and Rasmussen repeated its estimate of his share of the white vote at a high (for him) 59%. The optimistic interpretation for Romney: Dick Morris is right that a decisive late swing is about to begin, as with Reagan in 1980. If so, it will be powered by whites. Remember, the Congressional GOP got 60% in 2010. More white share comparisons here—scroll down.

Any such trend won`t be reported in the Main Stream Media. Thus neither the Wall Street Journal nor NBC mentioned the racial breakdown in their first excited reports this morning that their poll now shows a Romney-Obama tie. The full poll will be released in a few hours: we`ll update if these  forbidden facts are included.

Remember that it`s looked like a Romney breakthrough was about to happen before. And one poll, IBD/TIPP, is moving sharply the other way, both in terms of overall lead and white share.

Details:

  • Gallup (October 21) shows Romney increasing his lead, back to a very significant 7 points, at 52-45.

Gallup again did not publish its racial breakdown today. On Oct. 16, it showed Romney getting a record 61% white share. That translated into a four-point national lead over Obama.

  • Wall Street Journal/NBC News (Oct 21) shows Romney tied with Obama 47-47. He trailed by three and five points in late and early September respectively.
  • Rasmussen Reports (Oct. 21) shows Obama dropping a point, so that Romney is now two points ahead, 49-47.

Rasmussen`s Premium Platinum subscribers learn that Romney`s white share still at 59%, retaining its sudden jump yesterday. This seems to be the highest white share that Rasmussen has shown.

The one anti-Romney outlier:

  • IBD/ TIPP (Oct 21) shows Romney falling to his lowest level yet against Obama, 42.2-47.9.

IBD`s commentary goes on about "moderates" and "urban dwellers," but the real story is Romney`s white share: down to 51%, from 54% yesterday and 58% on October 10. This is big news, if true, and it`s a damning condemnation of the MSM mindset that IBD is missing it in its own poll.