Default
Romney`s White Share Inches Up to 56%, Putting Him In Lead (Rasmussen); Other Polls Mixed, Ignore Whites
Thumb peterbrimelow
October 06, 2012, 08:38 PM
A+
|
a-
Print Friendly and PDF

Rasmussen`s Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Romney leading Obama 49%-46%. It`s based on a three-day rolling average, so two-thirds of it was taken after the Presidential debate. Rasmussen has consistently been the most favorable poll for Romney, but this is the first time it`s shown him ahead in a while.

Rasmussen Platinum Members [subscribe here] have access to the crosstabs, which reveal Romney`s white share up two points since Friday:

Candidate

White

Black

Other

Romney

56

15

40

Obama

40

85

57

Of course, this still leaves Romney well behind the Congressional Republicans` 60% share in 2010 and even behind Dubya`s 58% share in 2004. (For more GOP white shares, see here). Curiously, Romney`s white share is actually a point lower than on last Saturday, but Romney also made small gains among blacks and others, so this time it`s enough. Of course, this means he is still making no special headway among whites.

The National Journal also reports, grudgingly, Poll: Apparent Slide for Obama Following Debate| A one-day poll suggests the president`s debate performance cost him (by Steven Shepherd, October 5. 2012). Clarus Research Group`s Thursday survey found Romney ahead 47-46. Inexplicably, Clarus does not release a racial breakdown.

Gallup`s seven-day rolling average tracking poll, updated Friday night, shows Romney behind Obama 46-49. Gallup, again inexplicably, does not release a racial breakdown either,