Orderofmagnitude
NYT Exaggerates "Trump Effect" on Foreign College Recruitment by an Order of Magnitude
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March 27, 2017, 08:01 AM
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From the New York Times, a widely cited figure:
Amid ‘Trump Effect’ Fear, 40% of Colleges See Dip in Foreign Applicants

By STEPHANIE SAUL MARCH 16, 2017

… Nearly 40 percent of colleges are reporting overall declines in applications from international students, according to a survey of 250 college and universities, released this week by the American Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admissions Officers.

But at MarginalRevolution.com, commenter GoldenEra went and looked up the original, which reads:
Key findings of the survey include:

- 39% of responding institutions reported a decline in international applications, 35% reported an increase, and 26% reported no change in applicant numbers.

Which is different by an order of magnitude than the implication of headline. Instead of 40% of colleges, the net is 39% – 35% = 4%, which is an order of magnitude smaller.

[Comment at Unz.com]