of a Trump surge: Exclusive: Trump surges in support, almost even with Clinton in national U.S. poll
, by Chris Kahn, Reuters, May 11, 2016:
Donald Trump's support has surged and he is now running nearly even with Democrat Hillary Clinton among likely U.S. voters, a dramatic turnaround since he became the Republican party's presumptive presidential nominee, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Wednesday...As recently as last week, Clinton led Trump by around 13 points in the poll.In the most recent survey, 41 percent of likely voters supported Clinton, the Democratic front-runner, and 40 percent backed Trump, with 19 percent not decided on either yet, according to the online poll of 1,289 people conducted from Friday to Tuesday. The poll had a credibility interval of about 3 percentage points. [Emphases added].
The Media Establishment is trying to discount this
, of course, but it's more interesting to look at why
this surge is happening: Reuters says
that as of May 10, whites have moved decisively to Trump, so that he now wins them 44.4% vs. 27.8%. (27.9% are Undecided—more, interestingly, than say they would vote for Hillary).
To answer the fashionable question
, white women now favor Trump 35.1% vs. 32.1% with an even more interesting 32.2% Undecided.
My possibly sexist assumption is that women tend to follow their men, which suggests that Trump has real upside potential here.
More evidence that whites can't stand Hillary: her resounding 35.8%-51.4% defeat
in the West Virginia primary last night. West Virginia is 92% white.VDARE.com
has long been intrigued
by the question of how the Democrats keep what Steve Sailer
calls their "Coalition of the Fringes
" together. Quite clearly, Bernie Sanders is the Democrats' implicit white candidate
. Although Hillary seems mysteriou$ly to have become this year's implicit minority candidate, she had generally eked out narrow majorities of white Democrats this year, suggesting the coalition was intact if stressed
. However, more recently she lost the white vote in Connecticut
and (dramatically) in Indiana.
My prediction: this is the first step in a long historic process
that will see northern whites eventually voting as overwhelmingly GOP/ GAP
as do whites in the the South