The Economist`s forecast of where the best places to be born in 2013 will eventually turn out to be is extremely Sailerian (i.e., tediously sensible): Switzerland is at the top, Nigeria at the bottom.
Does this represent a new trend toward acceptance of my philosophy of forecasting?
I predict that boring forecasts will sweep the media! (Odds that I turn out to be triumphantly correct: 0.1%; odds that my forecast is too boring to be remembered: 99.9%. Ergo: I can`t lose.)