Immigration Cut-Off By Decade`s End!

Pat Buchanan has just published a
speculating that if the Beltway Establishment does not
soon respond to the immigration issue, it will provoke
a new political party in the U.S., as it has all over

As it happens,
Peter Brimelow`s 1986 Canadian book

The Patriot Game
specialized in predicting the
emergence of new parties, also because a federal elite
was overriding cultural realities. Canada has
traditionally been ruled by three parties,


, and

even lefter
so the conservative
third-party Brimelow
predicted actually materialized as a

fourth party
.  He also predicted a new Quebec
separatist party would enter the House of Commons. It
did, so then there were five.

The conservative third/ fourth
party, now called the Canadian Alliance, has just
elected a new leader, Stephen Harper. Canada has a
parliamentary system, which means, because the Alliance
is the second-largest party, that Harper has the
official title of Leader of the Opposition and has an excellent
chance of becoming Prime Minister.

William Johnson, one of Canada`s
leading journalists, has just reported in

Globe and Mail
the shocking news that Brimelow`s The Patriot
was a major influence on Harper. In
effect, Brimelow`s
prediction of
a political revolt against Canada`s liberal Central
Canadian Toronto-Ottawa-Montreal (= U.S. Eastern
Seaboard) elite is coming true. When Brimelow wrote
The Patriot Game
in `86, the Canadian political
class thought he was crazy. But within five years,
another leading Canadian journalist was arguing that he
was being

proved right

And, as Johnson also points out,
politicians with actual principles have been successful
all over the world.

U.S. immigration reform moral:
Change happens – but it takes time. My
timeline of
the “thirty years war”
that it took to pass the 1924 immigration cut-off after
the founding of the Immigration Restriction League in
1894 suggested we can a expect a second cut-off around
the end of this decade – i.e. thirty years after the
founding of FAIR in
1979. Brimelow`s immigration book
Alien Nation

was published in 1995. So this measure also suggests we
can expect a major party Presidential candidate
influenced by its arguments to be nominated in 2008…or
certainly by 2012!

But will there be a Republican
Party for the candidate to lead? Canada`s former
Conservative Party was more or less ruined by Brian Mulroney, who may be
thought of as the Dubya of the North.
Republican strategists who value their cushy jobs
should take note.

(What does Harper think about
immigration? He`s been discreetly silent – we hope to
publish a report soon.)

(p.p.s we also hope to publish an
updated e-version of The Patriot Game later this

How Mr. Harper was brought up right

Globe & Mail,
Toronto Thursday, May 16, 2002 – Print Edition, Page A17

Canadians wanting to know what to expect from

Opposition Leader

Stephen Harper

should study a portrait of the leader as a passionate
young wonk. The youth was true father to the man.

The man is committed to the politics of conviction.
Like Pierre Trudeau, like Lucien Bouchard, unlike Brian
Mulroney or Jean Chrétien, Stephen Harper`s chief goal
is to change the country rather than wield power. He`d
rather be right than Right Honorable.
[VDARE.COM note:
i.e. in government

Indeed, were such the alternatives, he`d prefer to
reform the country from the Opposition than become prime
minister by joining the Liberessive Conservile
[VDARE.COM note to puzzled
American readers
: this is a joke!]

consensus. Some say that condemns him to failure, that
"Canadian values" are centrist and exclude conservative
policies. Could be. But in the past, conviction
politicians have won unexpected successes in Canada, the
United Kingdom, the United States and New Zealand.

Stephen Harper
, who just turned 43, came from a
family that can count. His father and two brothers are
chartered accountants. On graduation from Richview
Collegiate in Etobicoke, he won the gold medal for the
highest marks.

He took off for Edmonton in 1979 and for three years
worked at various jobs — notably computer programmer —
for Esso. [VDARE.COM note: i.e. a U.S. firm – anathema to Canada`s
He saw the devastation
to the petroleum industry and Alberta`s economy caused
by the Liberals`

National Energy Program.

He then attended the University of Calgary for a
degree in economics, and soon was youth campaign
chairman in the Progressive Conservative Association of
Calgary West for the 1984 Tory sweep. The following
year, his bachelor degree obtained, Mr. Harper was
invited to Ottawa as the legislative assistant for his
member of Parliament, Jim Hawkes.

He stayed only a year. Disillusioned with Prime
Minister Brian Mulroney`s wheeling and dealing and
failure to curb the runaway deficit,
[VDARE.COM note: c.f.
George Bush Senior…or Junior
he returned to
Calgary to enroll for a master`s degree in economics.

He was barely back when, in October of 1986, the
Mulroney government awarded to Canadair of Montreal a
rich contract for servicing the new CF-18 fighter jets,
though the evaluation team had found that Winnipeg`s
Bristol Aerospace offered a lower price and technical
superiority. The following year, Mr. Mulroney negotiated
the Meech Lake accord giving Quebec special status and a
perpetual veto over the Triple-E Senate that Western
provinces saw as their salvation.

As an undergraduate, Mr. Harper had formed two
relationships that became central after his return to
graduate school. Economics professor Robert Mansell
became his mentor. Fellow student John Weissenberger was
to become an ideological soul mate and lifelong friend.

Prof. Mansell, now
dean of graduate studies
, did a pioneering
investigation into the "federal
fiscal balances
," measuring the net difference
between what each province contributed fiscally to the
rest of the federation and what it received in return.
He demonstrated enormous disproportions. According to
his more recent figures, Alberta, between 1961 and 1992,
had been drained of $138-billion, while Quebec had
gained a surplus of $167-billion.

These were powerful challenges for the student to
come to terms with. But he was obsessed with grasping
their meaning and finding a solution, as Dean Mansell
recalls: "Stephen had a passion for public policy and
politics. He loved to chat in the hallway about
something that was in the news, and he would ask: `If
you`re going to do it right, what would you do?` I
introduced him to

Preston Manning
: first leader of the new third/ fourth party]

and they hit it off because Preston Manning is kind of a
scholar, he`s widely read and he spent a lot of time
thinking about these things. And that`s exactly the way
Stephen is."

Mr. Weissenberger, from the Montreal area, attended
the University of Calgary in 1984 to work on a PhD in
geology. He`d taken an undergraduate degree at the
University of Western Ontario where, during the
elections of 1979, he`d campaigned for Tory leader Joe
Clark. After graduation, he returned to Montreal to take
his master`s degree in geology at l`École Polytechnique
— in French. He was there when Mr. Mulroney was
preparing his coup at the 1983 Tory convention in

"I was in Montreal through that whole signing up the
rummies [VDARE.COM note:
to vote as delegates in a
riding," [VDARE.COM note:

without U.S. style primaries, Canadian leadership
conventions are notoriously easily packed
he told me. "I was supporting Mulroney
because it was clear that Clark was not going to do it."

In Calgary, he became active in the `84 Tory campaign
with his new friend, Mr. Harper. They discovered a
common interest in the conservative political philosophy
that was then triumphant with Margaret Thatcher and
Ronald Reagan, and wondered why Canada was stuck with
statist policies that were leading to ruin. They kept in
touch while Mr. Harper was in Ottawa and became close
after his return.

"Those were the days when the kernel of our political
ideas was formed as a reaction to the failure of the
Mulroney government," Mr. Weissenberger recalled. "We
both started reading — in graduate school we had a fair
bit of time," he laughs, "so we read.

"We used to have a lot of political discussions and
trade books that we were reading. Stephen got me
interested in

F. A. Hayek
and the

Austrian school of economics
. And we used to get
together, sit down and watch William Buckley`s Firing
once a week. [VDARE.COM
conservatives in Canada get really
We were both philosophical
conservatives, and we were both interested in public

This is the part we really like!]
were impressed by the radical critique of Canadian
institutions and Canadian political culture by Peter
Brimelow in his 1986 book, The Patriot Game. The
author predicted that Canada would become a
Third World country
or break up if it did not reform radically.

"We were so impressed," Mr. Weissenberger recalls,
"we actually went to one bookstore and we said, `Okay,
we want to buy 10 copies of this book, what deal will
you give us?` So we bought, like 10 copies, and gave it
to all our friends."

Mr. Brimelow predicted that the Western provinces
"may lead some sort of rebellion against the Liberal
hegemony, perhaps by supporting a right-wing, fourth

A year later, Preston Manning
launched the Reform Party, and Stephen Harper and John
Weissenberger were among the founders.

June 5, 2002