Broder`s Brainstorm

Though Obama
"may lose control
of Congress,"
says columnist David Broder, he
"can still storm
back to win a second term in 2012."

How does Broder suggest Obama go
about it?

"Look back at FDR
and the Great Depression. What finally resolved that
economic crisis? World War II."
war recovery?
October 31, 2010]

Conceding the prospect of a new war
is "frightening," Broder goes on to list the rich rewards of Obama`s
emulating FDR.

"With strong Republican support in Congress for challenging Iran`s
ambition to become a nuclear power,
[Obama] can spend much of 2011 and 2012 orchestrating a showdown with the
mullahs. This will help him politically because the
opposition party will be urging him on. And as tensions
rise and we accelerate preparations for war, the economy
will improve…

"(T)he nation will rally around Obama because Iran is the greatest
threat to the world in the young century. If he can
confront this threat and contain Iran`s nuclear
ambitions, he will have made the world safer and may be
regarded as one of the most successful presidents in

Cynicism aside, what is wrong with
Broder`s analysis?

First, how exactly are
"preparations for
on Iran going to improve our economy when

two actual wars costing $1 trillion
have left us in

deepest recession
since the 1930s?

Were those wars just not big

If war is good for the economy, why
is this nation, at war for a decade, growing at 2
percent, while China, which invests in rogue regimes
rather than bomb them, is booming?

Moreover, any attack on Iran`s
nuclear facilities would be carried out by air and
missile strikes from ships and planes already in the
U.S. arsenal. We would not need the tens of thousands of
ships, tanks, guns, and planes

we needed in WWII,
or the 12 million men under arms.

The first result of a U.S. strike
would be to pull Iran`s oil off the world market. If
Iran responded by mining the Gulf or sinking a tanker,
oil would go to $300 a barrel and gasoline to $10 a
gallon. Does Broder think that would give a nice boost
to the U.S. and world economy?

Japan`s attack at

Pearl Harbor
united us in
and resolve
. Should we attack Iran`s nuclear
facilities, when its nuclear program is supported by
both sides of that divided country, we would likely
unite Iranians in patriotic anger and convince any
doubters that Teheran must acquire nuclear weapons to
deter us.

We would then have to invade Iran
to win the war, as that would be the only sure way to
remove a regime that would be hell-bent on revenge
through terror and every other means.

Memo to Broder: We don`t have the
troops to invade Iran, which is three times as large as

And as Obama`s
"preparations for
are under way, how does Broder propose we
defend our diplomats and civilians in Lebanon, who are a
cab ride from Hezbollah in south Beirut?

Broder says,
"Iran is the
greatest threat to the world in the young century."

But a threat to whom?

Iran`s next-door neighbor Turkey
does not see Iran as a threat. Indeed, Turkey`s prime
minister got Teheran to agree to trade half its
low-enriched uranium to the West for fuel rods for a
reactor that makes medical isotopes. It was America that
slapped away the offer.

Iraq`s leaders make regular treks
to Teheran for advice in forming a new government. Our
man in Kabul, Hamid Karzai, admits to getting
of cash"
from Iran. Syria has excellent
relations with Teheran. Lebanon just hosted President

If the neighbors can live with
Iran, why are we, with 5,000 nuclear weapons, 6,000
miles away, so fearful?

Israel calls Iran
"an existential

But Israel has 200 nukes and the
planes, subs and missiles to deliver them, while U.N.
inspectors claim Iran has not diverted any of its
low-enriched uranium for conversion to weapons grade.

Should it do so, say U.S.
officials, we would have a year`s notice before Iran
could even test a device, let alone build a bomb.

We are told Ahmadinejad is a
madman, a religious fanatic, a Hitler who would die
happy, even if Iran were incinerated, if only he could
explode a nuclear bomb on Israel or the United States.

But when Israel attacked Iran`s
ally Hezbollah in 2006 and Hamas in 2008, Ahmadinejad
did nothing. Does that sound like Hitler?

When was the last time Iran started
a war with anyone?

America has deterred Stalin, Mao
and Kim Jong-Il, all men with nuclear arsenals and far
more frightening than Ahmadinejad, who is well into his
second term, unpopular, with an economy in shambles.
Moreover, Ahmadinejad does not make the war-or-peace
decision for Iran.

If Obama prepares for war and Iran
refuses to back down, how many U.S. dead and wounded
would Broder consider a fair price to pay for a second
term for his
"enduringly superior"



Patrick J. Buchanan


no introduction
VDARE.COM readers; his book
of Emergency: The Third World Invasion and
Conquest of America
, can
be ordered from His latest book

is Churchill,
Hitler, and "The Unnecessary War": How
Britain Lost Its Empire and the West Lost
the World,



Paul Craig Roberts.