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| Peter Brimelow Archive |
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PROJECTED REPUBLICAN VOTE (%) IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION YEARS |
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Year 1988A |
Republican Share (%) 53% |
Age Population White Black Latino Asian 78.8% 10.7% 7.4% 3.15% |
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Estimates: |
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2000 |
50.7 |
74.4 |
11.3 |
10.0 |
4.3 |
|
2004 |
50.3 |
73.0 |
11.4 |
10.8 |
4.8 |
|
2008 |
49.9 |
71.6 |
11.6 |
11.7 |
5.1 |
|
2012 |
49.5 |
70.2 |
11.7 |
12.6 |
5.5 |
|
2016 |
49.1 |
68.8 |
11.8 |
13.5 |
5.9 |
|
2020 |
48.7 |
67.3 |
12.0 |
14.4 |
6.3 |
|
2024 |
48.3 |
65.8 |
12.1 |
15.6 |
6.5 |
|
2028 |
47.8 |
64.3 |
12.2 |
16.6 |
6.9 |
|
2032 |
47.4 |
62.8 |
12.3 |
17.6 |
7.3 |
|
2036 |
47.0 |
61.3 |
12.4 |
18.6 |
7.7 |
|
2040 |
46.5 |
59.8 |
12.5 |
19.7 |
8.0 |
|
2044 |
46.0 |
57.8 |
12.6 |
20.7 |
8.9 |
|
2048 |
45.7 |
56.9 |
12.7 |
21.2 |
9.2 |
|
2052 |
45.3 |
54.9 |
12.9 |
21.6 |
10.6 |
Note: Republican share held at 1988 level for each group i.e.: White 59%; Black 12%; Latino 23%; Asian 47%; Assumed voter Participation rate: White 64%; Black 54%; Latino 54%; Asian 54% Source: Based on Census Bureau Population projections
