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Peter Brimelow Archive
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TABLE 1

Projected Republican Vote (%) in
Presidential Election Years


(Extrapolations Hold Republican Share
for Each Ethnic Group at 1988 Levels)

Year Republican Share (%)
1988A 53%
2000 50.7
2004 50.8
2008 49.9
2012 49.5
2016 49.1
2020 48.7
2024 48.3
2028 47.8
2032 47.4
2036 47.0
2040 46.5
2044 46.0
2048 45.7
2052 45.3

Source: Based on 1997 Census Bureau Projections of voting age population.

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October 20, 2001

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