March 09, 2006
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A Reader Asks What All the
Fuss Is About; He Says Illegal Aliens Don’t Need Any
Help
A Reader Crunches Census
Bureau Data to Get to the Bottom of the Fiancée Visa
Quandary
From: Brendan Gordon
Re: Joe Guzzardi’s Columns:
The Fiancée Visa Racket and
Fiancée Visa Means Unhappy Valentine’s Day
I have been following with some interest the
debate on whether fiancée visas are good or bad. I
myself am a 24-year-old single man, currently enrolled
in a doctoral program in
chemistry.
On one side we have frustrated
men who are
burned out on American women
and, fed up with the pickings,
look overseas for mates.
On the other hand, there are those advocating for
America's women. Curiously enough, both sides insist
that their side is at a disadvantage.
To solve this once and for all, I decided to examine
the Census 2000
data a little more closely.
Using the
Factfinder tool, and the
Census 2000 Summary File 4 sample data set, I found
a rather interesting picture.
When one crunches the numbers by age, it appears
that from 20 to
about 35, when most people get
married for the first time,
women have a distinct advantage.
The number of single men 20-34 was 15,435,183 in the
2000 Census. The same figure for women was 12,292,036.
That's 796 women for every 1,000 men.
Men who complain about the unfavorable sex ratio in
speed dating events, or who claim that all the good
women are taken may have valid grounds.
People on the other side, such as
Mary Rose Maguire, might note that there are "28
million single women over 35 but only 18 million men".
Perhaps this is simply a marketing ploy by Maguire
to make the situation seem worse than it actually is for
women because the actual census figure is 7,137,537
never-married men and 6,141,930 never-married women over
the age of 35.
Clearly, Maguire's conclusion seems unsupportable.
What truth it may have is based on the fact that there
are 2,619,442 widowers over 35 and 11,849,940 widows.
This large overhang occurs for two reasons. Firstly,
women live
three to four years longer than men do. And
secondly, women traditionally marry men who are a couple
of years older than they are.
The result is an excess of elderly women who linger
around for a decade or so after their husbands die.
The net effect of this is a large number of
frustrated young men and a similar large number of
lonely old women.
Somehow I doubt that they'd find happiness with each
other, anymore than (as
Steve Sailer would point out)
Asian men and black women would with each other.
To find a cause, it would appear that the situation
was exacerbated considerably by the bust in the
birth rate between 1960 and 1975 because on average
men are a couple of years older than their wives.
Those men born in the late 1960s suddenly faced more
competition for a smaller number of women born in the
early 1970s.
I wouldn't be at all surprised if the huge crash in
the birth rate has something to do with the neediness
and desperation that many men of marriageable age
exhibit and the spoiled happy-go-lucky attitude that
their female counterparts often demonstrate---and which
men who use mail-order bride services complain about.
And as most people know, neediness turns off
women—including those born in the
Philippines and
Russia.
