Recent News

National Data| February Jobs: Immigrant Employment Rose FOUR TIMES FASTER Than Native-born Employment Over Past Year

The U.S. economy gained 236,000 jobs in February, above what had been expected, while the unemployment rate fell to 7.7 percent, its lowest level since December 2008. But MSM reaction was somewhat muted, apparently because of fears of the sequester’s impact and because the labor force participation rate fell. (For example, see here and here).

Further context: 10.4 million native-born Americans were unemployed in February 2013 according to data in the just released BLS report. At 150,000 per month it would take about six-years to put them back to work.

Add to this the 77.5 million native-born Americans of working age who are not in the labor force—many dropping out rather than look for jobs they feel do not exist, and future labor force growth, and….we are on a treadmill to nowhere.

This is the labor market into with our bipartisan ruling class proposes to amnesty 12-20 million illegal aliens already here—as well as increasing legal immigration.

For context, about 90,000 legal immigrants arrive legally in the U.S. every month. That means more than one-third of all jobs created last month are needed just to absorb new legal entrants.

The “other” employment survey, of households rather than business establishments, reported a 170,000 job gain—somewhat less than the gains reported by businesses.

After January’s record displacement, February was one of the rare months in which the bulk of the new jobs went to native-born Americans. In February:

  • Total employment rose by 170,000, or by 0.12%
  • Native-born employment rose by 169,000, or by 0.14%
  • Foreign-born employment rose by 1,000, or by 0.01%

(My research shows that, for whatever reason, February is traditionally a month when immigrants lose ground relative to natives. In fact, immigrant job

Rand Paul—Patriot, P*ssy...Or President?

At the recent left-libertarian Students for Liberty Conference, Ann Coulter called a room full of libertarian students “P*ssies” for constantly talking about drug legalization.

In response, the famously verbose young libertarian movement took to its home base on the internet to bash her. But, true to form, it cowardly dodged her main question.

Coulter asked:

We’re living in a country that is 70-percent socialist, the government takes 60 percent of your money. They are taking care of your health care, of your pensions. They’re telling you who you can hire, what the regulations will be. And you want to suck up to your little liberal friends and say, ‘Oh, but we want to legalize pot.’ You know, if you’re a little more manly you would tell them what your position on employment discrimination is. How about that? But it’s always ‘We want to legalize pot.’

Ann Coulter

Coulter’s jibe hits especially hard because she is clearly referring to one person in particular—Rand Paul, the junior Senator from Kentucky.

During his campaign for the Senate, Rand Paul plainly stated the axiomatic libertarian position on employment discrimination–namely, that businesses should have the right to exercise freedom of association in defiance of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.

But within hours, Paul reversed himself and performed a ritualized grovel. And during his maiden speech on the Senate floor, Paul took care to bash Kentucky statesman Henry Clay for not backing abolitionism.

Since entering the Senate, Paul has made sure to appeal to powerful constituencies within the conservative movement. He's taken a strong stand in defense of traditional marriage. He was even rebuked by the head of the Family Research Council for joking that he didn't think President Obama's position on marriage “could get any gayer.”

Unlike his father, he has made his peace with the neoconservatives, declaring “An attack on Israel will be treated as an attack on the United States.”

Paul also aggressively pressed Hillary Clinton during the Senate hearings on Benghazi. The scion of an “isolationist” Congressman emerged as an almost Jacksonian nationalist.

Even Senator Paul's advocacy of defense cuts fit  in with the Beltway Right's new focus on limiting spending.

Many libertarians were becoming uneasy with Senator Paul’s regression into seemingly standard Republicanism.

However, Rand Paul's 13-hour filibuster on Wednesday has brought home his libertarian base and established him as a national leader. Paul held the Senate floor, and America’s attention, by demanding the Obama Administration answer whether the President has the right to use drones to kill Americans on American soil. He was initially joined by Senators Mike Lee and Ted Cruz, but over the course of the day also won support from Marco Rubio, Mitch McConnell, and Reince Priebus.

Rand Paul spoke for 13 hours.

Even libertarian critics disgusted with Rand's respectability have expressed their support. Paul finds himself the head of a bipartisan coalition in defense of civil liberties. [#StandwithRand | The libertarian moment has arrived – thanks to Rand Paul, by Justin Raimondo, AntiWar.com, March 8, 2013]

The Treason Lobby's favored Republican sons, John McCain and Lindsey Graham, neatly fell into the trap. They attacked Rand Paul and his “impressionable libertarian kids.”

The Amnesty duo, of course, were literally dining with President Obama during Rand's filibuster.

Conservatives hungry for confrontation reacted with fury against McCain and his Mini-Me. Rush Limbaugh slammed them as the “old guard playing footsie with Obama” while Paul was making a stand.

Rand Paul's political masterstroke nailed down conservatives, brought home libertarians, and embarrassed (and intrigued) liberals.

In response, Paul is being refreshingly frank (for a politician) about his plans to exploit his position to run for President in 2016.

Only one obstacle remains on the horizon—the battle over amnesty. How Rand Paul handles this determines whether he will be the Republican favorite for the nomination…or just another false start. There is both cause for hope—and cause for despair.

Rand Paul took strong implicit stances on the immigration issue during his campaign. According to spokesperson Jesse Benton in 2010:

Rand Paul will secure our border by any means needed as our current open border is a threat to national security and economic well-being.

Paul made the common sense observation that Mexican immigrants

Memo From Middle America | Treason Lobby’s NALACC Wants “Human Stories”?—We Can Give Them “Human Stories”!

You’ve heard of Treason Lobby institutions like the National Council of La Raza, LULAC and MALDEF. But NALACC?

The acronym stands for “National Alliance of Latin American and Caribbean Communities”—headquartered in Chicago. The group’s title, of course, refers to Latin American and Caribbean “communities” in the United States but which, significantly, still identify as Latin American and Caribbean.

You can visit the NALACC’s website here. Just browse a bit, and you can get the gist of where it’s headed. Example: Press Release: Latino Immigrants Call for Immediate Halt of Deportations, Reunification of Families, and Fast-Track to Citizenship.

NALACC’s “partners”—i.e. financial backers—include a Mexican NGO, the Iniciativa Ciudadana (Citizen’s Initiative in English, but of course it means Mexican citizens) which is consortium of many Mexican migratory rights agencies—and NALACC, which is supposed to be an American agency.

Another funder is the Robin Hood Tax Campaign, which is sort of a Who’s Who of globalism—of course it includes George Soros, but also Bill Gates, Mark Cuban, Warren Buffett, Paul Krugman, Al Gore, the Vatican, the NY Times Editorial Board, Archbishop Desmond Tutu, Jesse Jackson and UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon.

Is it any wonder that we think of people like NALACC’s Board of Directors  as part of the Treason Lobby?

To further promote the growing Hispanicization of the United States, of which the mooted Obama/ Rubio Amnesty/ Immigration Surge is a part, NALACC runs a media campaign, the “Somos / We Are initiative”. (Somos is Spanish for “We Are”).

According to the explanatory page  on the NALACC website:

The initiative “Somos /We Are” is an effort to reclaim  the humanity and integrity of immigrant communities,  particularly those of Latin American origin. The campaign has two stated goals:

1. To challenge the mistaken negative perception  about Latino immigrants that is perpetuated in  the mainstream media [AW: Seriously?], by promoting meaningful interactions between  native born and foreign born nationals.  These interactions can establish the basis  for a personal connection that can foster a sense of common humanity.

2. To empower Latino immigrant communities by emphasizing their strengths and contributions.


Somos/ We Are activities include educating the public on immigrant contributions and cleansing the public discourse of

hateful terms such as ‘illegal immigrants´

John Derbyshire Concludes: Jeb Bush Just Doesn’t Like Americans Very Much

As you read through a book, as the pages clock by, hints of the author’s underlying attitudes accumulate until, by halfway through the thing, you have a clear picture of those attitudes.  In the case of a certain type of author—a person with not much power of imagination or self-examination—you may have a clearer picture of his attitudes than he has himself.

So with  Immigration Wars, the new book by Jeb Bush and Clint Bolick.  I just got through reading the book on Kindle: the square brackets in what follows refer to locations in the Kindle text.

Yes, there are two authors there, and you can speculate for yourself about who did how much of the writing. But, given that Jeb Bush is an ambitious politician, and that now is about the right time for ambitious politicians to lay down markers for the 2016 election, I doubt there is a single sentence here that Jeb Bush didn’t sign off on—whether he actually wrote the book or not. So I am blaming him for it.

So what insights into this possible 2016 presidential candidate do we get from  Immigration Wars

The main one I got: Jeb Bush just doesn’t like Americans very much.

Immigration boosterism always has a whiff of this about it.  “Jobs Americans won’t do”—because they are too spoiled and lazy!  “Skill shortages”—resulting from Americans being too dumb! 

Bush packs both of those into a single sentence:

It is essential that we have an ample supply of workers both for labor-intensive jobs that few Americans want and for highly skilled jobs for which there are inadequate numbers of Americans with the skills to fit them. [1207]

Business-wise we’re not up to much, either: “Like most immigrants, Hispanics are tremendously entrepreneurial.” [2206] As opposed to those dull, risk-averse non-Hispanic and non-immigrant Americans!

 As VDARE.com readers know, this last assertion is demonstrably untrue.  Indeed, Bush’s book abounds in long-debunked falsehoods—so much so that, by fifty or so pages in, the well-informed commentator can’t resist doing a search on “44 percent.”  Yep, there it is!—“Whereas Republicans had won 44 percent of the Hispanic vote …” [2067] 

When not telling outright porkies, Jeb Bush offers assertions superficially friendly to his case, while omitting taboo-related explanatory factors: 

El Paso, Texas, is one of the nation’s three largest safe cities. [990] 

Yes, because the black population is unusually low: 2.8 percent, only a tad higher than Salt Lake City’s 2.5 percent.

The deficiencies of us actual citizens of the U.S.A. are even spiritual.

Immigrants are unlikely to be complacent about the freedom and opportunity that for them previously was only a dream and was gained only through great effort and sacrifice.  Our nation constantly needs the replenishment of our spirit that immigrants bring. [834]

The accumulating impression left by Jeb Bush: Americans are not much good for anything.  Only immigrants, with “their energy, vitality, talent, and enterprise” [992] can overcome the lassitude, torpor, mediocrity, and complacency of the native-born.

We get a revealing metaphor here, one that

Wednesday's One Old Vet Amnesty Story Collection: 35. Drudge 1 (Old).

Obama C

H/T One Old Vet

One Old Vet sprang back into action early today, publishing a compendium of 35 Amnesty related stories. Separately, there was a compendium of 7 stories on DHS Operation “Jail Break”.

Several particularly strong stories were carried individually including a video “Arizona Ranchers on High Alert because of Increase in Illegal Border Incursions” and an extremely annoying report More ILLEGALS Caught, Expecting Quick Release, Border Patrol Union Says

THE MONITOR | McALLEN — Illegal immigrants have started surrendering to local Border Patrol agents after crossing the Rio Grande, convinced they’ll be released by Immigration and Customs Enforcement…

“These are people that are just voluntarily turning themselves in to our agents with the expectation they’ll be released,” said Border Patrol Agent Paul Perez, president of the Rio Grande Valley union of the National Border Patrol Council. “When you cross with the expectation that you’ll be released, there’s no need to hide, there’s no need to run."


This has happened before.

Of the 35 stories, 15 were about the Jeb Bush row. Of these the most interesting was by Mark Krikorian at National Review Online: Jeb Bush’s False-Flag Operation March 5, 2013

Jeb Bush generated quite a bit of publicity for his new book yesterday by suggesting that amnestied illegal immigrants should not be eligible for citizenship…

Unfortunately, it’s a trick.

The Coddling Of College Hate Crime Hoaxers: Case Of The Oberlin Blanket Klan

American college campuses are the most fertile grounds for fake hate. They're marinated in identity politics and packed with self-indulgent, tenured radicals suspended in the 1960s. In the name of enlightenment and tolerance, these institutions of higher learning breed a corrosive culture of left-wing self-victimization. Take my alma mater, Oberlin College. Please.

If We Lose: America's Dystopian Destiny

“Comprehensive Immigration Reform” a.k.a. Amnesty plus Immigration Surge is nothing less than full-out bipartisan assault on the historic American nation —pressed by an Obama Administration determined to Elect a New People; and a Hispanicked Republican Establishment suffering from ADD (Adelson Dollar Disorder), Bush dynastic delusions and/or madness. As “anti-racist” activist Tim Wise notoriously prophesied in the midst of the momentary Conservatism Inc. jubilation after the (Tea Party-fueled) November 2010 mid-term election:

You need to drink up.

And quickly.

And heavily.

Because your time is limited.

Real damned limited.

The clock that reminds you how little time you and yours have left.

Not much more now.

Tick, tock.

Tick, tock.

Tick.

Tock.

I know, you think you’ve taken “your country back” with this election—and of course you have always thought it was yours for the taking, cuz that’s what we white folks are bred to believe, that it’s ours, and how dare anyone else say otherwise—but you are wrong.

[An Open Letter to the White Right, On the Occasion of Your Recent, Successful Temper Tantrum, Timwise.org, November3,  2010]

Similarly, after Mitt Romney and the Republican Establishment blew the 2012 election. Sam Donaldson gloated to MSNBC’s Chris Matthews:

The greatest slogan that I hated during this last campaign was 'We want to take back our country.' Guys, it's not your country anymore— it's our country.

[Sam Donaldson Tells Tea Partiers 'It's Not Your Country Anymore - It's Our Country', Newsbusters.org, December 24, 2012]

For a moment, let’s suppose Wise and Donaldson are correct/ Comprehensive Immigration” Reform passes: it’s their country.

Let’s consider two examples of what their country might look like—one where superior Left-leaning white people and their minority allies have displaced those nasty, brutish white conservatives.

  • South Africa

Universal suffrage and the consequent election of the Nelson Mandela-led African National Congress (ANC) in 1994 was supposed to lead to a thriving color-blind democracy.

Of course, Leftists like Wise and Donaldson care only about white civilizations’ defeat and usurpation. But the rest of the story can sometime be spotted in the Main Stream Media—witness this sidebar to a report of the sensational killing of model Reeva Steenkamp by track icon Oscar Pistorius, the so-called Blade Runner:

South Africa has some of the world's highest rates of violent crime and many homeowners carry weapons to defend themselves against intruders.

An average of nearly 50 people are murdered there each day,

CPAC And The New Conservative Crack-Up—Do Immigration Patriots Have a Dog In This Fight?

Twenty years ago, when I was a college student getting interested in conservative politics, the Right was going through a “crack-up” [™R. Emmett Tyrrell] after the demise of Communism and the then-recent defeat of George H.W. Bush. This was disrupting the conservative coalition that had existed for roughly two decades.

Books such as David Frum’s Dead Right and Paul Gottfried’s The Conservative Movement examined the various factions of the right and laid out what they stood for. Personally, I wasn’t drawn to conservatism because of the flat tax or missile defense systems. Instead, I was living in an extremely anti-white PC environment at my liberal college and was looking to join a resistance movement.

Needless to say, I identified with the paleoconservative wing of conservatism as exemplified by Sam Francis, Pat Buchanan, Jared Taylor, Paul Gottfried and the writers gathered around Chronicles magazine. These hard men spoke truth to power on issues of race and had no desire to make peace with those who supported Affirmative Action, multiculturalism and other anti-white trends.

Of course, the paleos lost—but not before giving the GOP and the Conservative Establishment a scare with the presidential campaigns of Buchanan and the intellectual firepower of the Chronicles crowd and sympathetic journalists such as Joe Sobran and Peter Brimelow (then still with National Review).

Republicans and Establishment Conservatives have long since given up any pretense of opposition to Affirmative Action and multiculturalism—let alone immigration. Indeed, they are often now on the wrong side of these issues. Thus all their current presidential contenders for 2016—Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, Paul Ryan and Jeb Bush—support Amnesty.

Needless to say, folding like origami on these issues has not helped the GOP win elections. Nor has it prevented a further rift within the dwindling number of those who still call themselves conservative.

The 2013 Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) will be held March 14-16 in the Washington D.C. area. Those who cannot attend will miss out on seeing a Who’s Who of Amnesty supporters like Rubio, Paul and Bush along with conservative heavyweights such as Francesca Chambers, Chelsi Henry and T.W. Shannon.

Who? I’ve never heard of the last three either. But they are black—so, of course, they are featured speakers at CPAC. Presumably, they are there to hector white College Republican types during the panels on how to attract minority voters and “A Roundtable Discussion on The Future of the Movement: Winning with Generation X/Y.”

But the main buzz around this year’s CPAC is the exclusion of GOProud, a gay Republican group that had exhibited at past CPACs (and, according to one person I know who attended, was harassing gay marriage opponents).

This caused MSNBC’s token Republican, S.E. Cupp [Twitter] to publicly boycott the event. Another house conservative, Jennifer Rubin [email her]of the Washington Post, cheered her on, citing Cupp’s “political courage.” CPAC damages itself and the GOP, February 27, 2013

Yet real courage would be challenging the opinions and views of their leftist employers. Attacking supposedly fellow conservatives will only enhance the job security of these two specimens of what Sam Francis called “the harmless persuasion.”

Not to be outdone, National Review Online posted several columns attacking CPAC’s decision to exclude GOProud, and also a perhaps-related move to not invite New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. In a conclusive demonstration that NR is no longer in any sense a Catholic magazine, an editorial titled “CPAC’s Empty Chairs” proclaimed:

Conservative opinion on the intersection of homosexuality and politics is not monolithic, especially among the college-aged set that makes up the better part of CPAC attendees. And a gathering that hopes to speak for the conservative movement will be better equipped to do so if it represents the overlapping gamut of views included in it.

Jonah Goldberg chimed in, criticizing CPAC for acting as a “border guard”

The Missing Recovery

The Fulford File | Communism, Socialism, Cultural Marxism, Democratic Hegemonists, Crony Capitalism, Ethnic Agendas, Treason Etc.—The “Ugly Roots” Of Immigration Enthusiasm

A number of “Hispanic Republicans” a.k.a. professional ethnics/ Treason Lobby shills recently launched what is obviously an orchestrated guilt-by-association smear of CIS, FAIR, NumbersUSA and immigration patriots in general on the grounds that that they are all secretly eugenicists, pro-abortion, “nativists” etc. etc.

Ms. Chavez, a former member of the Young People's Socialist League, is at best a neoconservative but she gets to lay down the law.

  • Bob Quasius [Twitter] the white guy at “Café Con Leche Republicans” is attacking Ann Coulter with many references to dead nativists, and makes a drive-by attack on Charles Murray, who is allegedly “hardly a credible source on demographics” because of the familiar accusations of racism which are (a) unfounded, and (b) irrelevant to credibility since Murray doesn’t just assert demographic facts, but always provides data.

Of course, this is an old, tired argument for Conservatism Inc. immigration enthusiasts—for our Washington Watcher’s documentation and debunking, see here. Even National Review’s immigration beards have been induced to whimper—see Krikorian and O’Sullivan here and here.

All the current smearers are Hispanic, even Quasius. (Well, actually he’s married to a Hispanic woman, and makes a living, GOP-campaign consultant style, by running Café Con Leche Republicans and whining about “Hate.”)

They apparently are Republicans. And they say they’re conservatives. But they’re favoring radically transformative levels of legal and illegal immigration, a program supported by the worst elements of the hard Left—including the current President of the United States.

So, if we’re looking at motives, here are the “ugly roots” of immigration enthusiasm:

  • Communists

The 1965 Immigration Act replaced the 1952 McCarran-Walter Act, which was an anti-Communist bill. The breakdown of the McCarran-Walter Act was a major objective of the Communists, as Congress heard in testimony in 1965, and pro-Communist writers are still gloating over its defeat. See, more recently, Communist Party Resolves: Immigrant rights is a struggle for democracy, CPUSA website, May 27, 2010.

  • Socialists

Mexico is a much more socialist country than the United States, and more immigration will tend to make the US more socialist. American socialists know this [ Socialism and Immigrants’ Rights, By Teddy Shibabaw, SocialistAlternative, June 22, 2010] and perhaps, once again, we should include the current President of the United States in their number. Elected with the votes of many Hispanic legal

Is Cash Avalanche Sweeping GOP Into Amnesty Acquiescence?

S Adelson

S Adelson: "My orders are, swing Left!"

Could it be that all this hoop-la about the GOP being more open to Amnesty aka “immigration reform” and Minority Outreach generally reflects not a (highly questionable) reaction to the 2012 election but simply the fact that unprecedented amounts of cash are being been made available to those willing to sing the Treason Lobby song?

Consider the tasteless advertorial carried by Politico on Thursday Republican group readies immigration blitz By Alexander Burns and Maggie Haberman 2/28 13

The American Action Network is poised to launch a major advocacy campaign aimed at winning support for immigration reform on the right...

AAN officials described the campaign in detail to POLITICO, outlining how the organization aims to drum up support for both immigration legislation and Republican budget proposals in the coming months.

This account got right to their main argument

“Wise Latina” Sonia Sotomayor’s War Against White Prosecutors And Racial Reality

  “I would hope that a wise Latina woman with the richness of her experiences would more often than not reach a better conclusion than a white male who hasn’t lived that life.”

Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor, in several speeches she gave in 1994, 1999, 2001, 2002 and 2004, according to CNN.[ Sotomayor's 'wise Latina' comment a staple of her speeches, June 8, 2009]

Since Monday, the MSM has been celebrating Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor—searching Google News on her name brings up one valentine after another:

What’s this all about?

In a Texas federal drug trial in 2011, Assistant U.S. Attorney Sam Ponder had asked black defendant Bongani Charles Calhoun on the stand of a situation in which he had found himself,

“You've got African-Americans, you've got Hispanics, you've got a bag full of money. Does that tell you - a light bulb doesn't go off in your head and say, this is a drug deal?”

The blacks in the hotel room had been Calhoun’s accomplices. They thought the Hispanics were going to sell them drugs. But the Hispanics were DEA agents. The bag of money came from Calhoun and his black accomplices.

Calhoun claimed to have no knowledge of any drug deal. Of course, he was lying and was duly convicted.

No one saw anything wrong with Ponder’s conduct at the time. And nothing was wrong.

You could say the DEA engaged in “racial profiling”—by having exclusively Hispanic agents play drug dealers. But no one has attacked the agency (yet). Had a racially mixed group of white and Hispanic agents posed as dealers, the buy-and-bust operation would have been a failure because… life is not like that. It would have been a giveaway that the deal was a law enforcement sting.

Indeed, Bongani Charles Calhoun and his crime partners were themselves guilty of racial profiling—that’s why they accepted the Hispanic agents

A VDARE.com reader sent a comment from The Hill

“random minorities with a supposed bag full of money and the guy can't make a reasonable inference? they most likely were not going to buy real estate or deposit it with their stockbroker.” Sotomayor reprimands federal prosecutor for racial remark, By Sam Baker, February 25, 2013.

Eventually, Calhoun and/ or his lawyers sought to convert Ponder’s reality-based question into a racist affront. But by then it was too late to appeal on that basis, and the Supreme Court rejected the argument.

Although Sotomayor acknowledged, the appeal was dead, she attached a statement to the decision, saying the question “tapped a deep and sorry vein of racial prejudice that has run through the history of criminal justice in our nation,” and was “pernicious in its attempt to substitute racial stereotype for evidence.” [BONGANI CHARLES CALHOUN v. UNITED STATES (PDF) , U.S. Supreme Court, February 25, 2013.]

Ponder had done no such thing. He had asked a perfectly reasonable question of the defendant, regarding the latter’s state of mind, which would have been formed by valid empirical generalizations which are called, among other things, “stereotypes.”

Some of the earliest valentines were reportorials that seemed to follow the lead of Reuters’ Lawrence Hurley.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor on Monday condemned racially charged

Rotten to the Core (Part 3) Lessons from Texas and the Growing Grassroots Revolt

Texas is a right-minded red state, where patriotism is still a virtue and political correctness is out of vogue. So how on earth have left-wing educators in public classrooms been allowed to instruct Lone Star students to dress in Islamic garb, call the 9/11 jihadists "freedom fighters" and treat the Boston Tea Party participants as "terrorists"?

Memo From Middle America | Borders Are Biblical! Evangelicals Resisting Their Pro-Amnesty “Leaders”

Among the many leaders of the Comprehensive Immigration Reform a.k.a. Amnesty movement are evangelical Christians attempting to guilt-trip their congregations. See my article The "Evangelical Immigration Table"—A Treason Lobby Front, which discusses an evangelical group (linked to George Soros) that spearheads the campaign.

Evangelicals don’t form a monolithic entity. There is no hierarchy or central organization that can claim to speak for them. It’s always risky saying “evangelicals” support anything—let alone Amnesty. But that hasn’t stopped various Main Stream Media outlets from proclaiming it in headlines.

In a recent article on the Christian Post website, Napp Nazworth asks On Immigration Reform, Will Evangelicals Follow Their Leaders? February 25, 2013. Nazworth is, of course, referring to pro-Amnesty leaders. He reports research conducted by Dr. Ruth Melkonian-Hoover, [Email her] which she presented at a meeting of the American Enterprise Institute.

Dr. Melkonian-Hoover is not a disinterested observer. She explains her research in a blog entry on G92.org, an evangelical pro-Amnesty website.

If the evangelical community is to be a leading voice in the call for Comprehensive Immigration Reform (CIR) [i.e. Amnesty], what steps need to be taken to ignite its voice? In recent years, key leaders within the evangelical community have been instrumental in the support of versions of CIR that attempt to balance moral imperatives of justice and mercy. …Enthusiasm, however, appears to be greater among national leaders than among people “in the pews.”

Evangelical Perspectives on Comprehensive Immigration Reform  (Ruth Melkonian-Hoover, G92, December 5, 2012)

So that’s an admission, right off the bat, that the pro-Amnesty drive in evangelical churches is being driven by leaders—not the grassroots.

Dr. Melkonian-Hoover’s research is based on data collected in 2010, before the current Amnesty drive. Recall that data from 2009 shows that evangelicals are more anti-Amnesty than any other major religious grouping. She reports:

  • …white evangelicals see immigrants as more of a threat to both society and the economy than the overall sample of the American population (50.7% versus 35.2%).
  • “…only 21.0% of white evangelicals—compared to 40.3% of the overall national sample—believe that immigrants strengthen both the economy and the society.”

But her research also indicates that “…experiences within congregations affect these perceptions.” This is not surprising, given the vast differences among evangelical denominations and congregations.

Dr. Melkonian-Hoover concluded that the key factor was not “frequent church attendance” but “positive messages”. Among regular white evangelical churchgoers whose clergy had discussed immigration, 30.0% reported a positive message and 31.0% a negative one. Among those who were exposed

Happy White Married People Vote Republican, So Why Doesn't The GOP Work On Making White People Happy?

Below is the single most extraordinary chart explaining the results of the recent Presidential election:

Below is the single most extraordinary chart explaining the results of the recent Presidential election

It’s widely assumed in the press that victory in the Electoral College is determined by the Gender Gap or by the Rising Tide of Hispanic Voters or whatever. But in fact the relationship between these demographic factors and whether a state votes Republican or Democratic in the four Presidential elections of this century has been relatively weak.

Despite the increasing importance of nonwhite voters, what still determines Presidential elections is a fundamental divide among whites over the very basics of life. Thus, an extremely obscure statistic measuring marriage among younger white women that I debuted here on VDARE.com in December 2004 correlates sensationally with Electoral Votes.

This metric: average years married among white women ages 18 to 44 on the 2000 Census (what I’ll call “Years Married” for short).

“Years Married” had its best won-loss record yet in 2012. Mitt Romney carried 23 of the 24 highest-ranked states. Barack Obama won 25 of the 26 lowest-ranked states.

In my chart above, the length of each state’s bar indicates the average number of years that a white woman 18-44 can expect to be married. Romney’s states are colored in the now traditional Republican red and Obama’s in Democratic blue, with Romney’s share of the two-party vote next to the name of the state.

At the top of the chart is Utah, where white women average 17.0 Years Married and Romney won 75 percent. At the bottom are Massachusetts and California.

In Massachusetts, white women average only 12.2 Years Married and Romney was beaten roughly 5 to 3.

(I left off the District of Columbia, a nonstate that gets three Electoral Votes. White women only average 7.4 Years Married there, and Romney won merely 7 percent in the capital.)

The sole anomalies were Obama capturing Iowa (which is 21st in Years Married) and Romney taking Arizona (41st).

Republicans need to ask themselves seriously why they didn’t win Iowa. Don’t ask: “What’s the Matter with Iowa?” Instead, ask: “What’s the matter with the GOP that they can’t win a respectable state like Iowa?

As for Arizona, I suspect that it’s culturally an exurb of Hollywood, but politically it’s an exurb of Orange County. This may help explain the virulence of the New York Times’ long-running war on Arizona: the Grand Canyon state is supposed to turn into California Jr., not into something new.

More on this Years Married statistic: please note that it is not a measurement of white people getting married in that state. Otherwise, Nevada, with its 24-hour wedding chapels, would be near the top of the list.

Years Married is a measurement of white people being married. Thus, states with high rates of both marriage and divorce, such as Oklahoma (unofficial state song: George Strait’s “All My Exes Live in Texas”), don’t perform quite as well as stable Utah.

The best predictor of Republican performance isn’t the rate of getting married—because if you have a state where a lot of people get married and then they turn around and get divorced, that doesn’t do the Republicans as much good. Divorced white people vote Republican less than 45 percent of the time, while over 63 percent of married white people go GOP. In short, Republicans do well among people who get married and stay married.

To demonstrate how stunningly sorted into red and blue this Years Married graph is, let’s compare it to a more celebrated demographic statistic: Percent Nonwhite.

Lately, everybody has been talking about how the growing nonwhite share of the population hurts the GOP (Peter Brimelow has been talking about this for 16 years).

And, that’s true. It does.

Yet, when you graph it out state by state, the red-blue divide isn’t as clear. At the top of the chart are the whitest states, Maine and Vermont, which Romney lost in landslides. Then West Virginia, New Hampshire, North Dakota, and Iowa. Not much of a pattern.

Percent Nonwhite By State 2012 Election

If you look at this chart very carefully, you can see a little more Republican red toward the top and a little more Democratic blue at the bottom…but nothing like the Years Married graph.

This is not at all to say that Percent Nonwhite is unimportant to election results—just that the real world is complicated. Percent Nonwhite correlates with Romney’s share of the vote in the fifty states at -0.32: a low to moderate negative correlation. (It’s stronger if Washington D.C. is included.) This is the kind of hodge-podge you normally see when you graph a single factor that impacts voting.

As I pointed out back in 2000, having a lot of blacks in a state tends to drive whites to the Republicans, while having a lot of Asians seems to make whites more liberal, with Hispanics in-between.

You might think, reasonably enough, that this 2012 Years Married result must be a one-time fluke. Maybe it was the result of the personal characteristics of Mitt Romney, a philoprogenitive Mormon who had 43 years married and 23 descendants?

But in 2008, John McCain carried 19 of the top 20 states on this same metric, while Obama captured the 25 of the bottom 26.

Here’s the 2008 chart:

2008 chart

 

As I said, I discovered Years Married right after the 2004 election. Unsurprisingly, it worked really well then, too, with George W. Bush winning the top 25 states and John F. Kerry 15 of the bottom 18:

I discovered Years Married right after the 2004 election. Unsurprisingly, it worked really well then, too.

 

And, finally, there’s 2000, when Bush took the top 25 states and Gore 14 of the bottom 17.

2000, when Bush took the top 25 states and Gore 14 of the bottom 17.

You may be wondering: Why white people? Why not measure Years Married for everybody? The short answer is: that’s what works best.

There is a higher correlation with the Republican candidates’ performance and Years Married among whites than with Years Married among the entire population. Conversely, Years Married among whites correlates better with the GOP’s share of the overall vote than with its share of the white vote.

You could accuse me of “data dredging”—trawling through many possible correlations looking for whatever turns out highest by random luck. But when I dreamed up my Years Married statistic in late 2004, it worked amazing well for two elections. It didn’t project all that well farther back into the past due to Ross Perot’s third party runs in 1992 and 1996. But it has since worked well for two subsequent elections. What more can we ask of a statistic?

It took me a long time to find the single measurement that best correlated with voting by state. Way back in July 2000, I noted here at VDARE.com that the most liberal state, Vermont, had the lowest total fertility while the most conservative state, Utah, had the highest. After the 2000 election, I explained for UPI that Bush had carried the 19 states with the highest white birthrates.

Immediately following the 2004 election, I pointed out in my Baby Gap article The American Conservative that the “total fertility rate” among whites was an uncanny predictor of overall voting by state.

Over the next couple of weeks in late 2004, I worked out how to create an age-adjusted measurement of being married. I reported in VDARE.com in “The Marriage Gap” on December 12, 2004 that the rate of being married among white women 18-44 in the 2000 Census had the highest single correlation with voting GOP.

I then fortified my theory by including the impact of geography on home prices—“The Dirt Gap”—which, in turn, determines the “Mortgage Gap.” In places where family formation is more affordable, the “family values” party does better.

Recently, political scientist George Hawley of the University of Houston has confirmed my state-based theory at the county level in a study published in the academic journal Party Politics: Home affordability, female marriage rates and vote choice in the 2000 US presidential election: Evidence from US counties. [February 24, 2011]

After a lengthy review of academic articles on voting, Hawley writes:

The possible relationship between home affordability and aggregate voting trends has largely been ignored up until now by the political science literature, though the topic has been considered by the political journalist Steven Sailer (2008). Sailer hypothesized that “affordable family formation”—which he argued was closely related to housing costs – was a key difference between majority-Republican states and majority-Democrat states. Sailer went on to conclude that the relative affordability of housing accounted for the differing typical political behavior within various large cities. Sailer suggested that the relative costliness of owning a home in America’s large coastal cities, such as Los Angeles, led to later family formation, which partially explained the greater support for Democratic politicians in those cities and regions. In contrast, inland American cities like Dallas are able to expand outward all-but indefinitely, which keeps housing costs low and subsequently [makes] such cities more attractive to young families.

Hawley went on to find a statistically significant effect at the county level in the 2000 election. In all likelihood, other scholars could find similar county results in the three subsequent elections. (In other words, if you are an academic social scientist searching for an important result to publish, check out 2004, 2008, and 2012.)

It’s worth looking at

Peter Brimelow Answers A High School Student: "I Believe My Children Will At Least Exempt Me From 'The Curses Of Those Who Come After.”

Peter Brimelow writes: Many minor public figures often complain that students email wanting them to write their papers for them. But actually I found these questions posed recently by this high school student—who does exist, her teachers assured me!—quite stimulating. Note, however, that she confuses illegal aliens with citizens, which I think is evidence of the Orwellian pitch to which Main Stream Media rewriting of this issue has now risen.


How long have you been involved with immigration issues?


I really started thinking about immigration in my first year in college in England, as a result of Enoch Powell's 1968 (aargh!) speech on immigration into the UK, in my opinion one of the greatest in the language.


Subsequently, I observed the contradictions of US policy as a student at Stanford and an immigrant myself, first to Canada and then to the U.S. This is discussed in my 1992 National Review cover story Time To Rethink Immigration, sometimes credited with restarting the modern debate, which grew into my 1995 book Alien Nation: Common Sense About America's Immigration Disaster.


What role, if any, do you play in the immigration process?


Immigration turns out to be a Third Rail Issue in American politics and any dissent is ruthlessly suppressed. After Bill Buckley betrayed the patriotic immigration reform cause in 1998 and purged National Review of immigration patriots, there was literally no outlet in the Main Stream Media for facts and analysis antithetical to the immigration enthusiast consensus. But the internet set us free and we launched VDARE.com on Christmas Eve, 1999.


Do you feel it is too difficult to become a legal citizen in the United States?


Yes and no. The legal immigration process is extremely complex and cumbersome—and also suppresses, since the 1965 Act, immigration from the traditional sources of Northern Europe and Canada. On the other hand, the absolute number of immigrants is far too high, especially given current unemployment rates


What are your thoughts on the country's current immigration policies?


Madness, both in quantity and quality (skill levels, assimilability etc.) Also a serious moral hazard, in that very large numbers of U.S. residents began their career here by breaking the law.


Do you believe undocumented immigrants fuel the economy by being consumers in the states?


In fact, there is a ton of evidence that they are a net drain because of the welfare state, especially when their anchor babies are considered. As Milton Friedman said, you can't have mass immigration and a welfare state.


What do you see as being the resolution for the yearly rising number of undocumented citizens in the country?


Undocumented citizens”? They’re not citizens, they’re illegal aliens. (Of course, George W. Bush used to make the same mistake).


The rational resolution is