Keep The Faith—McCain (and Amnesty) Will Fail

Let`s start with
the good news.

John McCain
, the likely (but not absolutely certain)
Republican nominee, will never be president.

(What are my
credentials for such a bold statement? Wait until the last
paragraph of this article!)

Coming after eight
years of the disastrous George W. Bush administration and its
legacy of war,

lunatic immigration enthusiasm
, indifference to the

middle class
and the

crushing mortgage crisis
, McCain would have a tough climb
even if he were the ideal GOP candidate.

But in most ways,
McCain is the worst possible candidate. He`s Bush all over
again—maybe worse.

Open those borders!
Let`s stay a

hundred more years in Iraq!
(See McCain`s speech on YouTube


Good luck to
McCain campaigning on a platform that echoes Bush and his 30
percent favorable poll rating.

Now for the bad
news. If McCain doesn`t become president, then a

will—most likely

Hillary Clinton
but there`s still plenty of time for

Barack Obama
to maneuver his way to the nomination.

Both are proud of
their amnesty stances. And each insists,

wrongly and hurtfully
, that more

non-immigrant worker visas
are essential for the American
economy to thrive.

To be sure, it`s a

that Republicans don`t have a solid patriotic
immigration reform candidate that we can count on at the
forefront of the race.

But have faith!
Don`t panic! Amnesty will not come automatically regardless of
who is elected. History and momentum are

on our side.

Have readers
totally forgotten how far we`ve come and the

of our

2007 victories?

Here`s an example
of what I mean.

Throughout Clinton
and Obama`s campaigning and especially since McCain`s
resurgence, my in-box has filled up with the direst messages—”
It`s all over now,” “This is the end!” and “Amnesty
is inevitable!”

Rightly outraged
correspondents are aghast that Obama endorses

driver`s licenses for illegal aliens
. To them, it is beyond
the pale.

And I agree that,
after watching N.Y. governor

Eliot Spitzer
get put through the

sausage grinder

alien licensing
, it is astonishing that any candidate would
touch the subject, especially when it is so easily dodged by
merely saying that states—not the federal government—regulate

But that`s my
point: who really cares what Obama thinks about licenses? He has
no control over it. Any

foolish enough to plunge into that rough and icy
water will do so

at his own risk

And the same can
be said about presidential opinions on amnesty: that issue is
determined in Congress, not the White House.

To better
understand the strength of our position, let`s review what`s
happened in the amnesty wars since Bush took office.

Bush, at the
outset, blindsided many (not
) of us. We didn`t foresee his fanatical devotion to open

As hard as this
still may be for some Republicans to swallow, it is

—as a practical matter—to be a bigger open borders
advocate than Bush.

Remember that
Bush`s first out-of-the country trip was to Mexico and the first
foreign leader he invited to the White House was

Vicente Fox
. And Bush had barely survived the

dangling chad
vote count before he

an amnesty trial balloon in
the spring of 2001.

Then, after his
2004 re-election, Bush vowed to use what he perceived as his
accumulated “political capital” to

push for amnesty
. Result: nothing!

And yet again
after the

2006 mid-term election
and as Bush worked non-stop with the

pro-open border Democrats
who controlled Congress, he still
couldn`t push through an amnesty despite a series of passionate
pleas he made in Arizona and during a rare (for a president)

personal visit to Capitol Hill.

In short, for
eight years Bush was repeatedly embarrassed on the immigration
issue by both Republican- and Democratic-controlled Congresses.

Since Senators
Clinton, Obama and McCain were all present and close-up
witnesses to the series of beatings Bush took, is it realistic
to expect that the first matter of business for whoever is
elected will be amnesty?

Not very
likely…and that`s not just my opinion either.

During a trip to
Washington D.C. in December I attended separate meetings with
immigration reform leaders that included

Executive Director

Roy Beck,

Mark Krikorian

Steve Camarota

Center for Immigration Studies

Hudson Institute Senior Fellow John Fonte
and the

Federation for American Immigration Reform
. The overwhelming
consensus is that amnesty is “too toxic” a subject and
that it will not rear its ugly head until 2010 at the earliest.

This is a huge
change. Remember that in January 2007, when the

110th U.S. Congress
was sworn in, nearly every
immigration reform advocate on Capitol Hill assumed that the
Senate would pass an amnesty again after a tough fight (as it

did in 2006
), and that we would ultimately have to stop it
in the House of Representatives.

Beating it back
in the Senate was seen as requiring something of a political
miracle, given the odds against us.

For a solid six

newspaper editorial boards
, the majority of columnists and

as well as the leadership of businesses,

, civil rights groups, universities, religions (most
visibly the

Roman Catholic Church
) and

ethnocentric lobbyists
predicted that “comprehensive
” legislation was inevitable.

They were all
wrong. Instead, the bill was stopped in the Senate without ever
getting to the House.

Here`s what
happened instead:

  • The
    Senate defeated amnesty and a green card increase in May…and
    again in June!

  • A
    smaller amnesty, the

    Dream Act
    , also considered inevitable because of its impact
    on “the
    ” went down in October.

  • The
    new Democratic leadership in the House headed by illegal
    immigration fanatic

    Nancy Pelosi
    did not even attempt to move an amnesty bill
    through a subcommittee—let alone the floor.

In the

  • Rep.
    John Gingrey (R-GA) introduced

    H.R. 938
    , the Nuclear Family Priority Act that will reduce
    the numbers of family sponsored immigrants (chain migration) and
    limit them to spouses and minor children.  The bill currently
    has 31 co-sponsors.

  • Rep.
    Robert Goodlatte (R-VA) has added 58 co-signers to his

    H.R. 1430
    , the Security and Enhancement Fairness for America
    Act that would eliminate the 50,000-diversity visa lottery. This
    is a significant move forward in reducing legal immigration.

And, most

Congressional Democrats
proposed tough enforcement

  • Rep.
    Heath Shuler (D-NC) introduced the

    SAVE Act
    (Secure America Through Verification and
    Enforcement) that bulks up the E-verify system to identify

    legal U.S. workers.
    The bill has been co-signed by 142
    representatives—50 Democrats and 92 Republicans.

  • Mark
    Pryor (D-ARK) and David Vitter (R-LA) forwarded legislation
    similar to Shuler`s in the U.S. Senate.

Use 2007—widely
but incorrectly predicted to be a disastrous year for patriotic
immigration reform—as a guideline.

And, big
difference, in 2008, we are forewarned and forearmed.

Not the
slightest clue exists that Americans are more receptive to
amnesty than they were in 2007. In fact, the reverse is true.

Judge for
yourself where we standing by asking this simple question: would
you rather be on our side, winning the battles as we fight them,
or on

La Raza`
team, consistently losing while its captain,

Janet Murguia
, becomes more

frighteningly unhinged
with each defeat?

Sure, it would
be nice not to have to go to the mat again and again. I`m at a
point in my life where I`d like to write fewer columns so I
could spend more time upgrading my

butterfly collection

But I`m
confident that no matter who wins the November election—the bad,
the worse or the worst—we`ll beat back our opponents as
consistently and as thoroughly as we have for the last several

We have brought
into the limelight of presidential politics
—a huge triumph
in itself—and we`ve won on the playing field.

So don`t fall
victim to negativity. Based on our recent record, there`s no
real reason for it.

And my
credentials for saying this? I don`t like to blow my horn. But I
predicted that the McCain-Bush-Kennedy Immigration Surge/
Amnesty bill

would fail
and when it was exhumed, I predicted it would be

. I predicted that

front-runner Giuliani would flame out
. I said that Mitt

should stop Hispandering and run against illegal immigration
which, as

Steve Sailer

pointed out
, Romney “would
have been tarred and feathered and run out of California on a

And I

New York`s Spitzer that his driver licence plan would
end in

Gray Davis-type

So I repeat:
McCain won`t be President. Amnesty will not pass.

Joe Guzzardi [e-mail
him] is the Editor of VDARE.COM Letters to the Editor.
In addition, he is an English teacher at the Lodi Adult School and has
been writing
a weekly newspaper column since 1988. This column is exclusive