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Has the Bell Begun to Toll for the GOP?

Among the more controversial chapters in Suicide of a Superpower, my book published last fall, was the one titled, "The End of White America."

It dealt with the demographic decline of the white majority and what it portends for education, the U.S. economy, politics and national unity.

John Derbyshire—The Gift That Keeps On Giving!

 [Peter Brimelow writes: We’re happy to say that despite his chemotherapy, John has been able to write for us again this week. Remember, you can help finance his VDARE.com columns (tax-deductibly!) here. Annoy Elspeth Reeve!]

After the fuss about my April 5 column in Taki's Magazine blew up, I assumed that within a week or two it would all have faded into the Cosmic Microwave Background of stale news, and I'd be able to get on with writing about other things that interest me: Far Eastern affairs, math and the physical sciences, the human sciences, history, religion, politics, literature, and poetry.

No such luck. Once the Lefties have a real live racial heretic in their sights, and understand—as of course they now understand very clearly—that they can use him as a stick with which to beat the race-whipped Respectable Right, with nothing coming back at them from that quarter but squealing, supplicatory protestations of racial orthodoxy, they're going to milk the situation for all it's worth. This show will run and run.

I suppose I only have myself to blame. As a close friend told me: "For goodness' sake, John, in the U.S.A. not even the world's greatest living geneticist can say true facts about race out loud. What chance did you think you had?"

Which is right, of course. Like James Watson and other somewhat-Aspergery types, I fall rather easily into the childish assumption that truth trumps everything, and that statements based on facts, including statistical facts, may fairly be challenged only by a set of facts that better fits the actual world of actual reality, so far as we are able to apprehend that world.

That stuff does happen. It's called "good science." It forms, however, only a minuscule

The Fulford File | More (Coordinated) Attacks On John Derbyshire, And VDARE.com

John Derbyshire and VDARE.com are both being attacked by raging pundits again. See Google News for more.  It started with this in the Atlantic Wire by Elspeth Reeve [Email her/Twitter]:



Racism for Dollars: John Derbyshire Turns White Supremacist Pitchman 


Elspeth Reeve, May 14, 2012


John Derbyshire's first column VDARE after being fired from the National Review-- besides one dedicated to thanking generous readers -- includes a defense of white supremacism. It doesn't seem like a coincidence that one of Derbyshire's most explicitly racist essays is packaged with a very explicit request for donations. It seems Derbyshire has discovered one of the benefits of turning off lots of mainstream readers by writing a racist essay about advising his kids to avoid black people is that it earns the loyalty of a smaller number of racist readers who will pay money for more racist stuff. Derbsyhire, the conservative writer fired from the National Review for, has a new column for VDARE.com,  


Derbyshire's case for white supremacy at VDARE.com, a site for "Immigration Patriots," noticed by Think Progress' Ian Millhiser, goes like this: [Links and typos, et cetera, in original]


Reeve  quotes the two paragraphs of Who Are We?—The “Dissident Right”?  in which Derbyshire’s actual argument is



“I actually think ‘White Supremacist’ is not bad semantically. White supremacy, in the sense of a society in which key decisions are made by white Europeans, is one of the better arrangements History has come up with. There have of course been some blots on the record, but I don't see how it can be denied that net-net, white Europeans have made a better job of running fair and stable societies than has any other group.” [Links in original, Reeve  copied the link to A Farewell To Alms: Why Did The Industrial Revolution Happen Where It Did? from Derbyshire’s piece.]


Note: real "white supremacy" societies of South Africa, Rhodesian, or pre-civil rights Alabama kind require a white minority. (It's not often appreciated that whites were a distinct minority

How Come Comedian Daniel Tosh Survives The “Anti-Racist” Flashmobs?

Last week, the Leftist “anti-racist” flashmob came for Naomi Schaefer Riley, a neocon Wall Street Journal type whose husband, Jason Riley, is actually black (and has been guilty of some silly "anti racist" smearing of his own). But that didn’t save her from being fired from her blogging gig at the Chronicle of Higher Education, any more than having a Chinese wife saved John Derbyshire from similarly being thrown overboard from National Review. See also the case of Robert Weissberg. (Hypocritically, National Review has criticized CHE:



This is a test of integrity 


—Mona Charen).


It’s getting to be a pattern.


Wouldn’t be funny if there were no repercussions for committing the ultimate, unforgivable sin in modern America: eschewing political correctness to point out the absurdities of our new “diverse” official culture?


Really funny.


Tosh.O funny.


Followers of the extraordinary career of comedian Daniel Tosh since he started his Comedy Central TV show Tosh.0, know just how funny. Tosh, a gangly white 36-year-old Floridian, is easily the hottest comedian in America right now.  His Tosh.0 replaced The Daily Show and The Colbert Report as the highest rated non-cartoon program on Comedy Central in 2010 and hasn’t looked back since. [New Comedy Central star outdraws Stewart, Colbert, By James Hibberd, Reuters, July 12, 2010]


The reason is simple: Tosh invites his viewers, watching safely on their own televisions, to enjoy jokes so verboten that they cannot be repeated in public without bringing on the flashmobs and the diversity commissars.


Playing a character of ambiguous sexuality, cracking jokes that can be construed as both pro-gay and homophobic at the same time, Tosh hosts a show that is a 21st century version of America’s Funniest Home Videos. He picks the most hilarious/outrageous clips uploaded to the Internet and showcases them along with his comic commentary.


Tosh also offers what he calls “web redemptions” to the people who star in his featured videos—people who are, more often than not, black. Generally, this segment involves blacks being the butt

As Baby Boomers Head For Retirement, Does Demographic Disaster Mean The Good Times Are “Really Over For Good?"

When the April figures on unemployment were released May 4, they were more than disappointing. They were deeply disturbing.

While the unemployment rate had fallen from 8.2 percent to 8.1 percent, 342,000 workers had stopped looking for work. They had just dropped out of the labor market.

Only 63.6 percent of the U.S. working age population is now in the labor force, the lowest level since December 1981.

During the Reagan, Bush I and Clinton years, participation in the labor force rose steadily to a record 67 percent. The plunge since has been almost uninterrupted.

Here is a major cause of the economic malaise of the 21st century, a condition over which a president has little control. A shrinking share of our population is carrying an ever-expanding army of dependents.

If this were a result of American women going home to have kids, that would be, as it was after World War II, a manifestation of national vigor and health.

But that is not the case here.

The number of Americans of working age not in the labor force grew in April from 87,897,000 to 88,419,000—by an astonishing 522,000. This is an immense army for the rest of society to carry.

Why are Americans dropping out?

Some have

Trende’s Trends: Sailer on The Lost Majority

Sean Trende, a senior analyst with RealClearPolitics, has written a valuable book entitled The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs - and Who Will Take It that debunks much Main Stream Media [MSM] conventional wisdom—above all, importantly, the apparently unkillable meme that the GOP must get 40% of the Hispanic vote to win a Presidential election, notwithstanding the fact that Hispanics cast only 7% of the vote in 2008. But, needless to say, I have some quibbles.

We’re finally starting to get the kind of talent in voting analysis that we see all the time in baseball statistics. Indeed, the biggest star to emerge recently in psephology, Nate Silver, came directly from baseball stats. Unfortunately, the kind of folks who make good money as election consultants tend less to be number-loving nerds than schmoozers who are adept at getting quoted in the papers and in terrifying their clients into spending huge amounts on campaign advertising (via the consultant’s own ad agency).

The main target of Trende’s book: the bread-and-butter concept of typical big picture psephological tomes: partisan realignment. It’s fun for pundits to predict that Real Soon Now, one party will start winning all the elections until, roughly, the end of time.

But Trende doesn’t see that happening, for what are essentially game theory reasons.

This abstract-sounding argument is relevant today because it raises questions about the most widely accepted (although least cited) realignment theory of recent years: Peter Brimelow and Ed Rubenstein’s demonstration, in a 1997 National Review (!) cover story, that current immigration will increasingly disadvantage Republicans. (See their 2001 update here).

Brimelow and Rubenstein concluded that the GOP should

E. O. Wilson—Nationalist?

A friend recently recommended E. O. Wilson’s latest book to me as “arguing an updated in-group out-group ethnocentrism thesis,” so read it with a view to what it might contain of interest to VDare.com readers concerned with the National Question.

The Social Conquest of Earth,  Wilson’s twenty-seventh book, is a new popular history of evolution focusing on the origins of sociability, both among his beloved ants and among humans. The work provides more evidence of the growing acceptance among scientists of the hypothesis of group selection, viz., the theory that natural selection operates not only upon individuals but upon the groups of which they are members. Regarding our own species, writes the author:

The pathway to eusociality was charted by a contest between selection based on individuals within groups versus relative success among groups. The strategies of this game were written as a complicated mix of closely calibrated altruism, cooperation, domination, reciprocity, defection and deceit. [As a result,] an unavoidable and perpetual war exists between honor, virtue and duty, the products of group selection, and selfishness, cowardice and hypocrisy, the products of individual selection.

From a nationalist or anti-PC perspective, Wilson’s most interesting admission is

How Come The U.S. Bullies Mexico Over Fast And Furious—But Not Over Immigration?

The Obama Administration deliberately armed foreign insurgents, consciously betrayed patriotic citizens, and conspired to cover up the facts about the murder of one of its own Border Patrol agents. More than that, all of these actions were motivated by the desire to deliberately strip Americans of their Second Amendment rights—even as the Obama Administration remains blithely indifferent to the takeover of huge swaths of the American Southwest by Mexican drug cartels.

That's in effect the charge that Conservatism Inc.—the nexus of special interests,  lobbyists and their political and media shills that is the degenerate successor of the historic Conservative Movement—has been casually promoting…after which it returns to debating whether Barack Obama took too much credit for killing Osama Bin Laden/ the fate of Richard Lugar/ hiding from Obama’s gay marriage endorsement.

Fast and Furious: Barack Obama's Bloodiest Scandal and the Shameless Cover-Up is the first book of Townhall.com editor Katie Pavlich, 23 years old and fresh out of the University of Arizona.  It’s a career maker—it will make headlines, it will generate huge sales, it will reach a mass audience—and it will not change Conservatism Inc’s priorities one iota.

This is a tribute to Katie Pavlich. This is a condemnation of Conservatism Inc.

Pavlich concludes,

“Operation Fast and Furious wasn’t a “botched” program. It was a calculated and lethal decision to purposely place thousands of guns into the hands of ruthless criminals… the operation was a coordinated and planned effort not to track guns, but to arm thugs south of the border for political gain.”

The Obama Administration’s stated rationale: to track gun sales for intelligence purposes.  The actual objective, in the opinion of Pavlich and

National Data, By Edwin S. Rubenstein | Even U.S. STEM Graduates Unemployed—Why Does Romney Want To Import More?

The college bubble must really be bursting: recently, the fashionable leftist Daily Beast webzine ran a story on The 13 Most Useless Majors, From Philosophy to Journalism.  Unemployment rates for these recent graduates (ages 22 to 26) ranged from 13.9% (architecture) to 7.7% (journalism, oddly. Philosophy grads came in at 10.8% unemployed).


The Daily Beast asks: Are Liberal Arts Majors Useless? But that’s not really the problem, as anyone can see from the merest glance at the recent Georgetown University study Hard Times, College Majors, Unemployment and Earnings: Not All College Degrees Are Created Equal, January 4, 2012 PDF on which the Beast article was based. Unemployment rates are high for recent college graduates in even the most demanding majors, including STEM degrees (science, technology, engineering, mathematics):


  • Information systems 11.7%
  • Mechanical engineering 8.6%
  • General science 8.2%
  • Biology 7.7%
  • Computer science 7.4%
  • Business 7.4%
  • Chemistry 6.6%
  • Healthcare 5.4%
  • Education 5.4%

Indeed, an Associated Press analysis of data from 2011 found 53.6% of college graduates under the age of 25 were unemployed—or, if they were lucky enough, under-employed, meaning

White House Lied, Jobs Died

While the White House and its media water-carriers try to distract the American public with gay-marriage talk and half-century-old tales of Mitt Romney's prep school pranks, the inconvenient truth remains: President Obama is responsible for perpetrating jaw-dropping, job-killing scientific fraud. And his minions are still trying to cover it up.

Obama's Gay Marriage Ploy And The Coming Antietam Of The Culture War

It took Joe Biden's public embrace of same-sex marriage to smoke him out.

But after Joe told David Gregory of "Meet the Press" he was "absolutely comfortable" with homosexuals marrying, Barack Obama could not maintain his credibility with the cultural elite if he stuck with the biblical view that God ordained marriage as solely between a man and woman. The biblical view had to go.

Obama had to move, or look like a malingerer in secularism's next great moral advance into post-Christian America.

John Derbyshire: Who Are We?—The “Dissident Right”?

 

[Peter Brimelow writes: John Derbyshire has begun his second round of chemotherapy since being fired from National Review, but we are delighted to say he was able to write this column for us this after emerging from his first day of treatment, a Stakhanovite performance.

Remember, you can help finance his VDARE.com columns (tax-deductibly!) here.

Re terminology, I still prefer “Right Opposition”—a good Marxist term!—but maybe I’m wrong.]

So this is the other side of the Right, eh? Not bad; though of course nothing like as classy as the hushed, oak-paneled, Chambers-of-Commerce-financed precincts of Conservatism Inc.,

Neocon Man Bites Foreign-Policy Dog—Atlantic Monthly’s Robert D. Kaplan says Mexico, Not Mid-East, is America’s Real Problem.

Robert D. Kaplan, the Atlantic Monthly’s National Correspondent, has written several books about remote regions and has not been shy about urging intervention in places where an over-riding American interest might not seem obvious—he was a vocal proponent of the U.S.-led 2003 invasion of Iraq.

Kaplan is a New York City native with war correspondent experience and Israeli military service, so I was inclined to characterize him simply as an unusually muscular neocon/liberal.  Some of his more recent books about the U.S. military reveal a fascination with things that go boom.  But unlike most of the prominent neocons who continually call for American intervention in Middle Eastern morasses—Kagan, Kristol and Frum come to mind, among others—Kaplan has been willing to don fatigues and take his chances.  Even if the fatigues weren’t American.

Kaplan now writes a weekly Geopolitics feature for George Friedman’s Stratfor.  Stratfor (shorthand for Strategic Forecasting) is a subscription-based private sector intelligence provider in Austin, Texas—right on Sixth Street, Austin’s once-notorious downtown party strip.  The Stratfor crew seem a pretty serious bunch, though.  They were recently the target of a Wikileaks hacking attack, a Left-handed compliment to their importance, but appear to have recovered.

(One revelation: a Stratfor email reported that defeated GOP Presidential nominee McCain had refused to challenge Democratic election fraud in 2008 on the grounds

Memo From Middle America | Will Senators Lugar And Hatch, Both Immigration Duds, Be Sent Packing?

The MSM seems to thinks Indiana Senator Richard Lugar will lose the GOP nomination to state treasurer Richard Mourdock, who is backed by Tea Party elements, on May 8. The Christian Science Monitor is even trying to incite him to make a third party run. (Tea party set to topple Sen. Richard Lugar. Could he try third-party run?, by Mark Trumbull, May 7 2012).

What a coincidence!—Lugar entered the Senate the same year as Utah’s Orrin Hatch, another Establishment Republican senator now being targeted in a primary.

Lugar has an appalling Career Grade of D- from Numbers USA, so it’s hard to see how Mourdock could be worse. But we’ll know that result soon enough. Let’s look at Orrin Hatch—and consider what lessons

Is This the End of 'One Europe'?

How Europe's crisis resolves itself as yet remains unknown.

But with Sunday's returns from France and Greece, the mega-trends on the Old Continent are unmistakable. And for the European Union, they are ominous.

Nationalism—be it economic nationalism or ethnic nationalism—is ascendant. Transnationalism and multiculturalism are in headlong if not irreversible retreat. The European project is itself imperiled.

To be sure, no one should underestimate the commitment of Europe's elites to the vision of One Europe as challenger to the United States. In the capitals and corporate headquarters of the continent, these elites are, almost to a

“The World Has Changed Way Too Much”: The Battleground Florida of Trayvon Martin, Raymond Herisse—And Gary Lenard Holmes

Gary Lenard

Mug shot of Gary Lenard Holmes; note the jailhouse tattoos on his neck

Florida, as journalistic shorthand has it, is a “battleground state”—not just in the presidential election, but because of the silent struggle raging as relentless immigration-driven demographic shift brings into question whether the state can remain part of the territory of the historic American nation.

The crime epidemic that drove George Zimmerman to become a neighborhood watch captain (see below), leading to his fatal encounter with Trayvon Martin, is one symptom of this struggle. The furor over the shooting of “Haitian Youth” Raymond Herisse in Miami Beach last Memorial Day, during the increasingly chaotic celebration of “Urban Beach Week, was another (Most people will have by now forgotten, but black activists and their Main Stream Media allies sought mightily to turn the Herisse shooting into a typical race hoax, in which a sweet, innocent black male was murdered by racist cops. It just didn’t take.)

The story I report below is a third symptom. It happened two weeks before the Zimmerman/ Martin case. But you didn’t hear about it, did you? One guess why not.

On February 12, a 25-year-old Coral Springs mom was sleeping with her one-week old newborn. It was a lovely Sunday night, and she’d left the sliding door in the other room open a little, for ventilation. At about 8 p.m., she was awakened by the sound

Culture Shock and Multiculturalism: How The Left Made A Useful Metaphor Into A Trojan Horse—And Then Abandoned It

 I vividly remember the first time I came across the stage theory of “culture shock.” Originally from the UK, I had been living in Finland for a few months when an expatriate, who had been there a lot longer, presented me with a diagram, photocopied from a book on “intercultural communication.” It was the standard representation of “culture shock.” The fellow expatriate made it quite clear to me that I would, without doubt, undergo the four stages of this de facto traveler malady.

  • Stage One: xenophilia, a naïve fascination with the new culture.

This, evidenced by my positive attitude towards Finns, was, he insisted, precisely the stage I was in.

  • Stage Two: reaction.

This involved reacting negatively against the host culture, loathing everything about it and romanticizing my home culture. During this stage, I would refuse to learn Finnish, socialize exclusively

National Data, By Edwin S. Rubenstein | April Jobs: Dismal Numbers For Immigrants And Americans—But Could Legal Immigration Be Increasing?

Only 115,000 jobs were created in April, well below the modest expectations of most economists. It was the second successive month in which the U.S. economy failed to generate enough jobs to absorb workers who lost jobs in the recession.